{"source":"gemini","id":"103662","ticker":"FED260729","slug":"fed-decision-in-july","title":"Fed decision in July?","description":"Fed decision in July?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5KuZuT0taRI8tqRyE3DMWk/16f9f7bb5e07a8c06767acfe8c32cf3b/fed_Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T16:49:59.688000Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["Fed"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Fed maintains rate","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:31.933844Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:31.933844Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:31.933844Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"103662-298231","event_id":"103662","slug":"GEMI-FED260729-MAINTAIN","question":"Fed maintains rate","group_item_title":"Fed maintains rate","description":"If the Federal Reserve maintains rates at their current level on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for \"Fed maintains rate\" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.25],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:39:32.203302Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T05:39:19.871853Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","event_title":"Fed decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"gemini","id":"103662-298232","event_id":"103662","slug":"GEMI-FED260729-HIKE25","question":"Hike 25bps","group_item_title":"Hike 25bps","description":"If the Federal Reserve increases rates by up to or equal to 25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for \"Fed maintains rate\" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.85],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T05:39:32.203302Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T05:39:19.871853Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","event_title":"Fed decision in July?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26]},{"source":"gemini","id":"103662-298230","event_id":"103662","slug":"GEMI-FED260729-CUT25","question":"Cut 25bps","group_item_title":"Cut 25bps","description":"If the Federal Reserve decreases rates by up to or equal to 25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for \"Fed maintains rate\" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","event_title":"Fed decision in July?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"103662-298233","event_id":"103662","slug":"GEMI-FED260729-HIKEGT25","question":"Hike >25bps","group_item_title":"Hike >25bps","description":"If the Federal Reserve increases rates by more than 25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for \"Fed maintains rate\" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","event_title":"Fed decision in July?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"103662-298234","event_id":"103662","slug":"GEMI-FED260729-CUTGT25","question":"Cut >25bps","group_item_title":"Cut >25bps","description":"If the Federal Reserve decreases rates by more than 25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for \"Fed maintains rate\" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T18:05:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T17:02:32.159453Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FED260729/fed-decision-in-july","event_title":"Fed decision in July?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/103662","as_of":"2026-06-25T05:53:15.247847Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Fed decision in July?\" — top market at 83% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}