{"source":"gemini","id":"10522","ticker":"CABINET-26","slug":"who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","description":"Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.). Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No. If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:47:25.036000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3249.0,"volume_24hr":7.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1342291831970215,"normalized_volume":36.14761734008789,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Todd Blanche","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:19.519167Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:19.519167Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","chart_24h":[125.0,25.0,7.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85117","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-LORICHAVEZDEREMER","question":"Lori Chavez-DeRemer","group_item_title":"Lori Chavez-DeRemer","description":"If Lori Chavez-DeRemer leaves as Secretary of Labor before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Lori Chavez-DeRemer must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1nP3sBdQ2LutHtXIrUhlgg/f2ddce952896f8c3335a05a479b2bf75/Lori_Chavez-DeRemer.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-21T21:13:34.265000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85120","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-PAMBONDI","question":"Pam Bondi","group_item_title":"Pam Bondi","description":"If Pam Bondi leaves as Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Pam Bondi must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-02T18:06:55.127000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85122","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-TODDBLANCHE","question":"Todd Blanche","group_item_title":"Todd Blanche","description":"If Todd Blanche leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Todd Blanche must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5XzqldNE0petdai8S85DlV/bac3db4558a75d9ac31424d90ffd61d8/Todd_Blanche.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.31],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:56:35.460190Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:56:31.121587Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.76]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85116","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-KASHPATEL","question":"Kash Patel","group_item_title":"Kash Patel","description":"If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2Hi55io5Lyo2reTnFvzwWK/570945df0b2348565d5a1f8ed1a373a4/Kash_Patel.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.44],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85118","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-TULSIGABBARD","question":"Tulsi Gabbard","group_item_title":"Tulsi Gabbard","description":"If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Tulsi Gabbard must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/gheCWPP0Po1YFrZXWV2vz/adf8264aa6074fa75f812ad651fbd307/Tulsi_Gabbard.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.41],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:46.933187Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T20:21:11.609528Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85123","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-HOWARDLUTNICK","question":"Howard Lutnick","group_item_title":"Howard Lutnick","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Secretary of Commerce before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Howard Lutnick must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1Zhax0n2JyqRpQhLvtp5Ce/8c6b6fae810417ca2628fb9d32600297/Howard_Lutnick.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.58],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85128","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-SUSIEWILES","question":"Susie Wiles","group_item_title":"Susie Wiles","description":"If Susie Wiles leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Susie Wiles must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/69Uq6yu4tCXo8gnj6A8zD7/3ceed51a207d80b4b0902be5e8386e73/Susie_Wiles.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.64],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85124","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-BILLPULTE","question":"Bill Pulte","group_item_title":"Bill Pulte","description":"If Bill Pulte leaves as FHFA Director before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Bill Pulte must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2dEVqB6AvcMmeFGNrpBq34/d683c9aff8f53a974387ec65ea6bf3cf/Bill_Pulte.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.64],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85125","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-KAROLINELEAVITT","question":"Karoline Leavitt","group_item_title":"Karoline Leavitt","description":"If Karoline Leavitt leaves as White House Press Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Karoline Leavitt must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4T96kdR7ZQ8WP4UBXhgkWz/35054308b0b6d9378a604ef5ce91ce1d/Karoline_Leavitt.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.7],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85121","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-PETEHEGSETH","question":"Pete Hegseth","group_item_title":"Pete Hegseth","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4ERjNlIcib9PDjCjdixYB1/d9a3131920a94fd27bcfb1b528d87d82/Pete_Hegseth.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.72],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:38:38.533401Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85130","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-CHRISWRIGHT","question":"Chris Wright","group_item_title":"Chris Wright","description":"If Chris Wright leaves as Secretary of Energy before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Chris Wright must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7KnUAQ60HquuYiKOqA66JM/aa9b0f3e972fe2295527b5a5fa84c090/Chris_Wright.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.75],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:57.183151Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T23:38:52.240502Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85145","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-LEEZELDIN","question":"Lee Zeldin","group_item_title":"Lee Zeldin","description":"If Lee Zeldin leaves as EPA Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Lee Zeldin must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4DvIJJFMM7JIXXs8GqwV6y/ebf556922fc244fb5d4b0d521945f774/Lee_Zeldin.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.74],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T17:36:32.751605Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T17:36:32.751605Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85127","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-ROBERTFKENNEDYJR","question":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","group_item_title":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","description":"If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves as HHS Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5aRdM1xn5vwO7LMBRfw8e/66e05140a6d47cb3270a022058b2f2d1/Robert_F._Kennedy_Jr..png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.76],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85134","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-STEPHENMILLER","question":"Stephen Miller","group_item_title":"Stephen Miller","description":"If Stephen Miller leaves as Deputy Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Stephen Miller must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/38X4BKwf5MZkaoLh7tpLzS/117792bd28fbab12c87c6a0db993d775/Stephen_Miller.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.79],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999953,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:10:22.494715Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85126","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-RODNEYSCOTT","question":"Rodney Scott","group_item_title":"Rodney Scott","description":"If Rodney Scott leaves as CBP Commissioner before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Rodney Scott must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2YPPyNG7H8LneFaoDwoRqG/4c047bed69ae1a7359048250f8110f40/Rodney_Scott.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.82],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:24.147948Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:54:44.078205Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85138","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-PETERNAVARRO","question":"Peter Navarro","group_item_title":"Peter Navarro","description":"If Peter Navarro leaves as Senior Counselor to the President for Trade and Manufacturing before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Peter Navarro must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3s1rGCi4BkxtSmgQhvSiol/59720ede02cbde4bb97e05b079fa7626/Peter_Navarro.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.82],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:33:19.220986Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T07:38:42.507268Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85129","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-SCOTTTURNER","question":"Scott Turner","group_item_title":"Scott Turner","description":"If Scott Turner leaves as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Scott Turner must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5wwucuao3BF4A7DHX5HZRM/9e17064fd6c68f1ed7e814a6b8d20199/Scott_Turner.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.82],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85133","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-STEVEWITKOFF","question":"Steve Witkoff","group_item_title":"Steve Witkoff","description":"If Steve Witkoff leaves as Special Envoy to the Middle East before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Steve Witkoff must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6qmTXH4CCXoDKm5MuUFt0U/d2491aa5873a04a43a8018fe5a2b9b50/Steve_Witkoff.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.83],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85132","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-MEHMETOZ","question":"Mehmet Oz","group_item_title":"Mehmet Oz","description":"If Mehmet Oz leaves as CMS Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Mehmet Oz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5xGNSIWiOWUIpdSVz2M4OH/d9bc8f70ea0d9497b7c596fbe8acbbee/Mehmet_Oz.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.83],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85146","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-SEANDUFFY","question":"Sean Duffy","group_item_title":"Sean Duffy","description":"If Sean Duffy leaves as Secretary of Transportation before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Sean Duffy must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6HOCak1tbEavDSGKxGgSsS/ce3744d8e603c94476abd77213f46385/Sean_Duffy.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.85],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85149","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-SCOTTBESSENT","question":"Scott Bessent","group_item_title":"Scott Bessent","description":"If Scott Bessent leaves as Secretary of the Treasury before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Scott Bessent must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/JUnzrc34geoXxfm8NAW5m/b56af2525a74df64866b1b883a25422a/Scott_Bessent.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.83],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:36:19.918301Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T05:35:18.348032Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85142","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-BROOKEROLLINS","question":"Brooke Rollins","group_item_title":"Brooke Rollins","description":"If Brooke Rollins leaves as Secretary of Agriculture before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Brooke Rollins must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5bQgI6KV4mduB3hqygI5Tt/500bef5519994225fb24f3d9b01464b2/Brooke_Rollins.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.86],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:11:18.391736Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T14:01:43.411926Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85143","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-TOMHOMAN","question":"Tom Homan","group_item_title":"Tom Homan","description":"If Tom Homan leaves as White House Border Czar before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Tom Homan must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5EREkoK0cYuakWoKvABvHY/d40cfe993ef124fb6b5149e15d52c923/Tom_Homan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.84],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:19.683441Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85135","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-BRENDANCARR","question":"Brendan Carr","group_item_title":"Brendan Carr","description":"If Brendan Carr leaves as Chairman of the FCC before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Brendan Carr must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5AoK7o7kEphPQItQTVNmqq/c382f2e23efa643dd231a152c40cc165/Brendan_Carr.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.84],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.313724Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T06:42:44.452583Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85136","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-JAMIESONGREER","question":"Jamieson Greer","group_item_title":"Jamieson Greer","description":"If Jamieson Greer leaves as United States Trade Representative before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Jamieson Greer must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/620TM2h2S3HBKdPcQgiwLQ/cc4f100d7f28fa3afdddb00abdab0cfe/Jamieson_Greer.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.85],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:50.841567Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T22:11:47.693880Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85140","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-RUSSELLVOUGHT","question":"Russell Vought","group_item_title":"Russell Vought","description":"If Russell Vought leaves as OMB Director before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Russell Vought must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/ieb9VWygIG0liz7dQ7ihU/6f7f71d89ac8d6e2f18db1ecc29ae7a0/Russell_Vought.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.86],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:33:19.220986Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T07:38:42.507268Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85137","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-JOHNRATCLIFFE","question":"John Ratcliffe","group_item_title":"John Ratcliffe","description":"If John Ratcliffe leaves as Director of the CIA before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. John Ratcliffe must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4vqd7og0hDbuD7H7Mz2Kqn/217c6b5a326fb73626628f384c17e666/John_Ratcliffe.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.86],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:12:49.371170Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T07:40:31.771963Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85147","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-MARCORUBIO","question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves as Secretary of State before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Marco Rubio must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4npmr6wXmeWkcmI47q7Wo4/4f221215113d7fc488c5163527ad634b/Marco_Rubio.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.86],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:54.005864Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85148","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-DOUGBURGUM","question":"Doug Burgum","group_item_title":"Doug Burgum","description":"If Doug Burgum leaves as Secretary of the Interior before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Doug Burgum must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3AMTtNuT2kQl5sdaWRGHyT/18546886b298de7fd5de89289ab72906/Doug_Burgum.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.87],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:21.468145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85119","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-AMYGLEASON","question":"Amy Gleason","group_item_title":"Amy Gleason","description":"If Amy Gleason leaves as Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Amy Gleason must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/70ntpaY10aPPXzydfPRguh/1b2adaf5ad7fc58a258271affb2b403d/Amy_Gleason.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85131","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-MIKEHUCKABEE","question":"Mike Huckabee","group_item_title":"Mike Huckabee","description":"If Mike Huckabee leaves as Ambassador to Israel before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Mike Huckabee must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/70tpJ58WdFa12C6EVv1vih/ff2af163ae75db65a5290e49cb5ab7b3/Mike_Huckabee.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85139","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-LINDAMCMAHON","question":"Linda McMahon","group_item_title":"Linda McMahon","description":"If Linda McMahon leaves as Secretary of Education before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Linda McMahon must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6ZyS7tg3qjU1SSIN01FMSI/dcf887d1baaa86bcb4c9a10d40f7cf32/Linda_McMahon.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85141","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-KELLYLOEFFLER","question":"Kelly Loeffler","group_item_title":"Kelly Loeffler","description":"If Kelly Loeffler leaves as SBA Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Kelly Loeffler must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1TVl9aKSLRJp7Qw2kHnkON/6e1af5260cafef02349c0e1db0e40790/Kelly_Loeffler.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"10522-85144","event_id":"10522","slug":"GEMI-CABINET-26-DOUGCOLLINS","question":"Doug Collins","group_item_title":"Doug Collins","description":"If Doug Collins leaves as Secretary of Veterans Affairs before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC. Doug Collins must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1NePE9rsgEXPsZtL9Z20B9/baebb4f31562fa7b2a54ef7b8b51d1b3/Doug_Collins.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:01:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/CABINET-26/who-will-leave-the-trump-administration-in-2026","event_title":"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/10522","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:17:34.150881Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?\" — top market at 100% probability across 34 outcomes","source_url":null}}