{"source":"gemini","id":"106026","ticker":"HOUSE26MI-07","slug":"michigan-07-house-winner","title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:54:07.376000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":597.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.784822463989258,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Curtis Hertel","top_outcome_probability":0.73,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:30.426139Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:30.426139Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.067104Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"106026-302325","event_id":"106026","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-07-CURTISHERTEL","question":"Curtis Hertel","group_item_title":"Curtis Hertel","description":"If Curtis Hertel wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.99],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T01:57:16.289694Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T22:14:05.941596Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"106026-302324","event_id":"106026","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-07-TOMBARRETT","question":"Tom Barrett","group_item_title":"Tom Barrett","description":"If Tom Barrett wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.54],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T00:18:59.828141Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T00:18:59.828141Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.46,0.47]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/106026","as_of":"2026-09-07T08:31:47.068502Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Michigan-07 House Winner\" — top market at 73% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}