{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/106026","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:24:45.867491Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Michigan-07 House Winner\" — \"William Lawrence\" leads at 75% across 3 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/106026","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"106026","ticker":"HOUSE26MI-07","slug":"michigan-07-house-winner","title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-24T01:54:07.376000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1029.56,"volume_24hr":27.5,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.097825050354004,"normalized_volume":26.599180221557617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"William Lawrence","top_outcome_probability":0.75,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T13:16:14.307605Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T13:16:14.307605Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.067104Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":3,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"106026-712407","event_id":"106026","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-07-WILLIAMLAWRENCE","question":"William Lawrence","group_item_title":"William Lawrence","description":"If William Lawrence wins the 2026 U.S. House election in RI-02, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.3],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T19:40:07.289482Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T19:40:07.289482Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T22:50:44.868057Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106026-302324","event_id":"106026","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-07-TOMBARRETT","question":"Tom Barrett","group_item_title":"Tom Barrett","description":"If Tom Barrett wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.76],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999953,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T22:28:23.572382Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T22:28:23.572382Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.28,0.29]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106026-302325","event_id":"106026","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-07-CURTISHERTEL","question":"Curtis Hertel","group_item_title":"Curtis Hertel","description":"If Curtis Hertel wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-07, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.99],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T21:37:24.958305Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T21:37:24.958305Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-07/michigan-07-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-07 House Winner","chart_24h":null}]}