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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.99],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.98,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T09:35:33.973313Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:38:04.757539Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26TX-23/texas-23-house-winner","event_title":"Texas-23 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106028-338119","event_id":"106028","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26TX-23-BRANDONHERRERA","question":"Brandon Herrera","group_item_title":"Brandon Herrera","description":"If Brandon Herrera wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Texas-23, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.29],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T20:33:22.004848Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:26:39.133399Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T19:52:35.593961Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26TX-23/texas-23-house-winner","event_title":"Texas-23 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106028-338041","event_id":"106028","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26TX-23-KATYSTOUT","question":"Katy Padilla Stout","group_item_title":"Katy Padilla Stout","description":"If Katy Padilla Stout wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Texas-23, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.73],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999953,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T05:50:20.656151Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T05:29:35.927331Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T18:51:21.877955Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26TX-23/texas-23-house-winner","event_title":"Texas-23 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.28]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106028-302320","event_id":"106028","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26TX-23-SANTOSLIMON","question":"Santos Limon","group_item_title":"Santos Limon","description":"If Santos Limon wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Texas-23, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T19:39:45.862000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:49:14.764935Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T19:52:35.593961Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26TX-23/texas-23-house-winner","event_title":"Texas-23 House Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/106028","as_of":"2026-07-25T20:45:10.696282Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Texas-23 House Winner\" — top market at 99% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}