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Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.3],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:09:23.663905Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:09:13.486887Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T18:51:21.877955Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MT-01/montana-01-house-winner","event_title":"Montana-01 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.71]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106033-338036","event_id":"106033","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MT-01-SAMFORSTAG","question":"Sam Forstag","group_item_title":"Sam Forstag","description":"If Sam Forstag wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Montana-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.65],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:50:38.641540Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:50:29.116082Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T18:51:21.877955Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MT-01/montana-01-house-winner","event_title":"Montana-01 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36]},{"source":"gemini","id":"106033-302332","event_id":"106033","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MT-01-RYANZINKE","question":"Ryan Zinke","group_item_title":"Ryan Zinke","description":"If Ryan Zinke wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Montana-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T18:52:34.698000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:08:38.196651Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T19:11:45.605199Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MT-01/montana-01-house-winner","event_title":"Montana-01 House Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"106033-302334","event_id":"106033","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MT-01-MONICATRANEL","question":"Monica Tranel","group_item_title":"Monica Tranel","description":"If Monica Tranel wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Montana-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-06T18:52:27.932000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T19:08:38.196651Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T19:11:45.605199Z","added_at":"2026-06-24T01:59:42.235736Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MT-01/montana-01-house-winner","event_title":"Montana-01 House Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/106033","as_of":"2026-07-25T20:10:29.465988Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Montana-01 House Winner\" — top market at 71% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}