{"source":"gemini","id":"112920","ticker":"FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A","slug":"ecuador-vs-mexico-to-advance","title":"Ecuador vs Mexico: To Advance","description":"Ecuador vs Mexico: To Advance","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1ZFeiki9owxvG3mkzSmSnN/b25c6d89dc4a644b375e914899ad87fb/FIFA_World_Cup_Trophy.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:03:59.611000Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3928.0,"volume_24hr":3891.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.58195877075195,"normalized_volume":35.62303161621094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["World Cup"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mexico advances","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:20.711935Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:20.711935Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.782158Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A/ecuador-vs-mexico-to-advance","chart_24h":[37.0,125.0,199.0,243.0,691.0,713.0,787.0,811.0,1549.0,1610.0,1874.0,1886.0,1990.0,2535.0,2564.0,2662.0,3589.0,3591.0,3828.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"112920-313560","event_id":"112920","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A-MEX","question":"Mexico advances","group_item_title":"Mexico advances","description":"If Mexico wins its Men's World Cup match against Ecuador scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3fIImIbccmijuKCJEuTqkX/71aa0bf74d0fcc9e020d1028eaa248f0/239-mexico.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.39],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:30.431919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:20.853259Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.948972Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A/ecuador-vs-mexico-to-advance","event_title":"Ecuador vs Mexico: To Advance","chart_24h":[0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.65]},{"source":"gemini","id":"112920-313561","event_id":"112920","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A-ECU","question":"Ecuador advances","group_item_title":"Ecuador advances","description":"If Ecuador wins its Men's World Cup match against Mexico scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3iSdzocm0vK3w4mKZXgrb2/cefe4896475abfc2cf397212417a584f/049-ecuador.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.64],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-01T09:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:20.853259Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T03:31:20.853259Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.948972Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607010100-ECU-MEX-A/ecuador-vs-mexico-to-advance","event_title":"Ecuador vs Mexico: To Advance","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/112920","as_of":"2026-06-29T03:39:12.702002Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Ecuador vs Mexico: To Advance\" — top market at 64% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}