{"source":"gemini","id":"112923","ticker":"FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A","slug":"croatia-vs-portugal","title":"Croatia vs Portugal","description":"Croatia vs Portugal","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1ZFeiki9owxvG3mkzSmSnN/b25c6d89dc4a644b375e914899ad87fb/FIFA_World_Cup_Trophy.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:04:19.613000Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58695.0,"volume_24hr":55038.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":92.18672180175781,"normalized_volume":60.84303283691406,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["World Cup"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Portugal advances","top_outcome_probability":0.74,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:43:41.332541Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:43:41.332541Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.782158Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A/croatia-vs-portugal","chart_24h":[1978.0,2042.0,2045.0,2555.0,4653.0,10456.0,10855.0,10724.0,11320.0,11452.0,11421.0,11560.0,11553.0,11453.0,11377.0,11797.0,12234.0,12488.0,12739.0,12852.0,13340.0,13611.0,14896.0,15378.0,17708.0,18534.0,19834.0,21226.0,24594.0,23975.0,25017.0,36131.0,55744.0,55038.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"112923-313566","event_id":"112923","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A-POR","question":"Portugal advances","group_item_title":"Portugal advances","description":"If Portugal wins its Men's World Cup match against Croatia scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/0S5j7bHBqdzHd5sxXPzOk/f2557e5cc8bc9602b590df900d6dbff1/174-portugal.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.27],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:43:41.447702Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:43:41.447702Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.948972Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A/croatia-vs-portugal","event_title":"Croatia vs Portugal","chart_24h":[0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"gemini","id":"112923-313567","event_id":"112923","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A-CRO","question":"Croatia advances","group_item_title":"Croatia advances","description":"If Croatia wins its Men's World Cup match against Portugal scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7rTV7ymGFJNgjEHwgcgp39/694cc52d36845678cdd66070a461a2d6/134-croatia.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.74],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-28T02:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T07:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T22:23:22.551316Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T22:23:15.239588Z","added_at":"2026-06-28T02:09:44.948972Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607022300-CRO-POR-A/croatia-vs-portugal","event_title":"Croatia vs Portugal","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/112923","as_of":"2026-07-02T22:59:24.321001Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Croatia vs Portugal\" — top market at 74% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}