{"source":"gemini","id":"117668","ticker":"BTC2607312100","slug":"btc-price-on-july-31","title":"BTC price on July 31","description":"Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/btc_ace6c0f4-f500-4b7d-a66c-a3ea5ea1d9e9.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T19:59:21.507000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14019.0,"volume_24hr":14019.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":65.5213623046875,"normalized_volume":46.6563606262207,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Bitcoin"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$47,500 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.479457Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.479457Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.627103Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","chart_24h":[7975.0,12572.0,12578.0,12719.0,13619.0,14019.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321687","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI47500","question":"$47,500 or above","group_item_title":"$47,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $47,500 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.08],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321688","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI50000","question":"$50,000 or above","group_item_title":"$50,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $50,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.12],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321690","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI52500","question":"$52,500 or above","group_item_title":"$52,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $52,500 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.19],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.88,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.84]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321692","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI55000","question":"$55,000 or above","group_item_title":"$55,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $55,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.29],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321694","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI57500","question":"$57,500 or above","group_item_title":"$57,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $57,500 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.43],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.59]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321696","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI60000","question":"$60,000 or above","group_item_title":"$60,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $60,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.61],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321697","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI62500","question":"$62,500 or above","group_item_title":"$62,500 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $62,500 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.76],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26]},{"source":"gemini","id":"117668-321698","event_id":"117668","slug":"GEMI-BTC2607312100-HI65000","question":"$65,000 or above","group_item_title":"$65,000 or above","description":"If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $65,000 or above on July 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.91],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:29.526308Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T01:20:20.752512Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:14:58.771268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2607312100/btc-price-on-july-31","event_title":"BTC price on July 31","chart_24h":[0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/117668","as_of":"2026-07-01T01:28:43.431495Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"BTC price on July 31\" — top market at 97% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}