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Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/65pgSjpCfMo3FjSy5O42Nw/bd7d0c02ad4ed7a231d3546996655a06/034-kazakhstan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.53],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-04T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T01:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T19:38:29.892882Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T19:38:24.122054Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T22:43:41.447702Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPWIM-20260704-TIA-BUB/frances-tiafoe-vs-alexander-bublik","event_title":"Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.63,0.54]},{"source":"gemini","id":"121281-327519","event_id":"121281","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPWIM-20260704-TIA-BUB-TIA","question":"Frances Tiafoe","group_item_title":"Frances Tiafoe","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Frances Tiafoe wins the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. 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