{"source":"gemini","id":"127404","ticker":"TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC","slug":"naomi-osaka-vs-karolina-muchova","title":"Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova","description":"Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T14:09:32.129000Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T21:40:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3760.0,"volume_24hr":3760.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.357994079589844,"normalized_volume":46.37260818481445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Wimbledon"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Naomi Osaka","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-07T07:16:36.776520Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T07:16:36.776520Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T14:26:20.148253Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC/naomi-osaka-vs-karolina-muchova","chart_24h":[0.0,26.0,44.0,56.0,176.0,3507.0,3527.0,3760.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"127404-337152","event_id":"127404","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC-OSA","question":"Naomi Osaka","group_item_title":"Naomi Osaka","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Naomi Osaka wins the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:40 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4J6VRr4hWCciq3hslGCXAK/d625172d9d6265bb9a8245301fe5bbcd/033-japan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.47],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T14:09:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T21:40:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T06:15:37.527116Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T06:15:37.527116Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T14:26:20.290257Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC/naomi-osaka-vs-karolina-muchova","event_title":"Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"gemini","id":"127404-337153","event_id":"127404","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC-MUC","question":"Karolina Muchova","group_item_title":"Karolina Muchova","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Karolina Muchova wins the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 9:40 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/64GqAUITALgTJCEC2G02NY/fceaa8ede611cd68a94e0c79509adee7/061-czech-republic.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.58],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-06T14:09:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-07T21:40:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-07T04:22:59.941835Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-07T04:22:59.941835Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T14:26:20.290257Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-WTAWIM-20260707-OSA-MUC/naomi-osaka-vs-karolina-muchova","event_title":"Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/127404","as_of":"2026-07-07T08:11:12.908740Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova\" — top market at 57% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}