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Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, the market will resolve 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.36],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-12T06:20:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-08T23:36:30.453878Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T23:36:30.453878Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T16:28:32.395823Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-MCG-HOL-20260712/mcgregor-vs-holloway","event_title":"McGregor vs Holloway","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"gemini","id":"127559-337520","event_id":"127559","slug":"GEMI-UFC-MCG-HOL-20260712-MCG","question":"Conor McGregor","group_item_title":"Conor McGregor","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Conor McGregor wins the McGregor vs Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, the market will resolve 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. 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