{"source":"gemini","id":"135079","ticker":"FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A","slug":"spain-vs-france","title":"Spain vs France","description":"Spain vs France: To Advance","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/FIFA_World_Cup_Trophy_e4532dd5-4985-4728-af6a-7265f64f39c1.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T01:59:25.434000Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3603.0,"volume_24hr":3603.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.58785629272461,"normalized_volume":44.321319580078125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["World Cup"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"France advances","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T04:17:44.767423Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T04:17:44.767423Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T02:15:33.514541Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A/spain-vs-france","chart_24h":[327.0,3603.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"135079-350554","event_id":"135079","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A-FRA","question":"France advances","group_item_title":"France advances","description":"If France wins its Men's World Cup match against Spain scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7rFibkECUoSzkz9Zulj7CF/0b7bf0a20e8d6939b02973f89704e354/077-france.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.43],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T01:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:49.144973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:40.997813Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T02:15:33.710513Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A/spain-vs-france","event_title":"Spain vs France","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59]},{"source":"gemini","id":"135079-350555","event_id":"135079","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A-ESP","question":"Spain advances","group_item_title":"Spain advances","description":"If Spain wins its Men's World Cup match against France scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4AAjJeLryUNtWPmR8Vq4ZZ/b2ad05c169ad68eafd731719b5371298/044-spain.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.59],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-11T01:59:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T03:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:49.144973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T03:16:40.997813Z","added_at":"2026-07-11T02:15:33.710513Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2607141900-ESP-FRA-A/spain-vs-france","event_title":"Spain vs France","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/135079","as_of":"2026-07-11T07:02:56.131048Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Spain vs France\" — top market at 59% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}