{"source":"gemini","id":"139642","ticker":"HOMERUNDERBY26","slug":"home-run-derby-winner","title":"Home Run Derby Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baseball_771b2cf5-357d-4de9-9dbb-1aa2726994f3.avif","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:30:14.933000Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:18.713000Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Pro Baseball"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Jordan Walker","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.85,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.932109Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.932109Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.168220Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,2347.0,2607.0,2973.0,12424.0,20310.0,25444.0,29812.0,34121.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358270","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-WALKER","question":"Jordan Walker","group_item_title":"Jordan Walker","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Jordan Walker wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. If Jordan Walker does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.  If Jordan Walker does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/St_Louis_CardinalsDark_3cd34202-bec5-4928-9b3f-f3bfdf49d86f.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:15.333000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.47,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358267","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-MURAKAMI","question":"Munetaka Murakami","group_item_title":"Munetaka Murakami","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Munetaka Murakami wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Munetaka Murakami does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Chicago_White_SoxDark_0170e312-7a52-464e-80fb-ad4c5c34b3f2.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:18.210000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358268","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-CAGLIANONE","question":"Jac Caglianone","group_item_title":"Jac Caglianone","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Jac Caglianone wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Jac Caglianone does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Kansas_City_RoyalsDark_f72c7c98-660e-452e-8450-9576cf186eab.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:17.739000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358269","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-CAMINERO","question":"Junior Caminero","group_item_title":"Junior Caminero","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Junior Caminero wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Junior Caminero does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Tampa_Bay_RaysDark_15662b3a-8294-4531-a962-9914fbc2c1f6.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:15.844000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.06,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358271","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-SCHWARBER","question":"Kyle Schwarber","group_item_title":"Kyle Schwarber","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Kyle Schwarber wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Kyle Schwarber does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Philadelphia_PhilliesDark_84c5f0ae-160f-48c3-8757-8b13028eb06f.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:17.280000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.26,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.26,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.49,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358272","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-HARPER","question":"Bryce Harper","group_item_title":"Bryce Harper","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Bryce Harper wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Bryce Harper does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Philadelphia_PhilliesDark_84c5f0ae-160f-48c3-8757-8b13028eb06f.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:16.331000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.13,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358273","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-RICE","question":"Ben Rice","group_item_title":"Ben Rice","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Ben Rice wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Ben Rice does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/New_York_YankeesDark_4f700049-7c16-4b78-b201-85d2a08381c5.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:16.783000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.13,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"139642-358274","event_id":"139642","slug":"GEMI-HOMERUNDERBY26-CONTRERAS","question":"Willson Contreras","group_item_title":"Willson Contreras","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Willson Contreras wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby (including ties), scheduled to begin on July 13, 2026. The outcome will be verified using ESPN and the governing league. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. If Willson Contreras does not participate in the event, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Boston_Red_SoxDark_e209ee8a-b305-4eae-8eee-af4f52419aa1.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-13T19:35:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-14T05:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-14T02:50:18.713000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:00:05.841622Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T02:59:59.987053Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T19:41:22.722001Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOMERUNDERBY26/home-run-derby-winner","event_title":"Home Run Derby Winner","chart_24h":[0.1,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/139642","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:58:08.061552Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Home Run Derby Winner\" — top market at 100% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}