{"source":"gemini","id":"153246","ticker":"SCSENREPSPELECT2026","slug":"south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner","title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?","description":"Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican U.S. Senate special primary?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/ChatGPT_Image_Jul_21_2026_12_34_37_PM_06bbd4ed-db9b-4795-8faf-61b53fc9be08.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T20:16:47.723000Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Congressional"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Russell Fry","top_outcome_probability":0.72,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.681056Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.681056Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.681056Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SCSENREPSPELECT2026/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"153246-380605","event_id":"153246","slug":"GEMI-SCSENREPSPELECT2026-FRY","question":"Russell Fry","group_item_title":"Russell Fry","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Russell Fry wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican U.S. Senate special primary. The outcome will be verified using results published by the South Carolina election authorities. This market may be eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of major media organizations projects the winner. If Russell Fry does not win the primary, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.29],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T01:29:25.474862Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T01:29:18.210463Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.872725Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SCSENREPSPELECT2026/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.73,0.72]},{"source":"gemini","id":"153246-380606","event_id":"153246","slug":"GEMI-SCSENREPSPELECT2026-NORMAN","question":"Ralph Norman","group_item_title":"Ralph Norman","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Ralph Norman wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican U.S. Senate special primary. The outcome will be verified using results published by the South Carolina election authorities. This market may be eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of major media organizations projects the winner. If Ralph Norman does not win the primary, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.86],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:07:44.378221Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T23:46:12.365408Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.872725Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SCSENREPSPELECT2026/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"153246-380607","event_id":"153246","slug":"GEMI-SCSENREPSPELECT2026-NORDONE","question":"Darline Graham Nordone","group_item_title":"Darline Graham Nordone","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Darline Graham Nordone wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican U.S. Senate special primary. The outcome will be verified using results published by the South Carolina election authorities. This market may be eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of major media organizations projects the winner. If Darline Graham Nordone does not win the primary, this market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.92],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T04:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:07:44.378221Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T23:46:12.365408Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T20:21:35.872725Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SCSENREPSPELECT2026/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner","event_title":"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/153246","as_of":"2026-07-22T05:32:14.808941Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?\" — top market at 72% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}