{"source":"gemini","id":"15610","ticker":"LEAVE2026","slug":"which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","description":"For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3rdP1n4b0vhNOnsC4BqVDm/42c96d5cfdddd5825f068ae1ffc6cc8b/046-united-nations.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T20:34:17.468000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24425.0,"volume_24hr":12074.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":64.03105926513672,"normalized_volume":56.42914962768555,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["International"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gustavo Petro","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:35.120891Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:35.120891Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","chart_24h":[13550.0,22614.0,18094.0,12074.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108651","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-GUSTAVOPETRO","question":"Gustavo Petro","group_item_title":"Gustavo Petro","description":"If Gustavo Petro has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Colombia or has actually left President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3MuLkVjgZprzZe2CBUMtoZ/13ed504c86fe218ba224708005c2cd1f/Gustavo_Petro.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.05],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Colombia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:11:18.391736Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-20T17:07:46.614638Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108650","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-KEIRSTARMER","question":"Keir Starmer","group_item_title":"Keir Starmer","description":"If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count.  \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1iNU9IBR1D06Z9TXvE2uK3/6967e5624c0505fc1bc549a7a65a27f6/Keir_Starmer.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.31],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:14:22.127599Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T23:13:09.618356Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108648","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-MIGUELDIAZCANEL","question":"Miguel Díaz-Canel","group_item_title":"Miguel Díaz-Canel","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel has either officially announced their intention to leave as First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba or has actually left First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count.  \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2CyDv3RaOQ1y6VyZn6PdJA/db45b3f311ab2778be302b9091e6f616/Miguel_Di%C3%8C_az-Canel.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.38],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108652","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-CHRISTOPHERLUXON","question":"Christopher Luxon","group_item_title":"Christopher Luxon","description":"If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count.  \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6NB11F7R0miA5pdd3WPfpY/ce07d007f57b926d25c43530f924e70e/Christopher_Luxon.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.52],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T06:02:22.444988Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108653","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-BENJAMINNETANYAHU","question":"Benjamin Netanyahu","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4l8zjJ5gf6habcfS9hW3UO/c88b786252f3872d7ef0882a4343e166/Benjamin_Netanyahu.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.59],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:57.183151Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:21:53.244985Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.47]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108656","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-PEDROSANCHEZ","question":"Pedro Sánchez","group_item_title":"Pedro Sánchez","description":"If Pedro Sánchez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Spain or has actually left Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3IOD58DnkmjBsJ6tbmsrqN/debb6dd762abcb9e2252f56cd7904bf6/Pedro_Sa%C3%8C_nchez.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.78],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:46.933187Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:01:18.055889Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108657","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-METTEFREDERIKSEN","question":"Mette Frederiksen","group_item_title":"Mette Frederiksen","description":"If Mette Frederiksen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Denmark or has actually left Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7Akitoig4nuByQKjvrPgkw/2084f7e70e31539796dc59227f5c23b9/Mette_Frederiksen.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.88],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108668","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-FRIEDRICHMERZ","question":"Friedrich Merz","group_item_title":"Friedrich Merz","description":"If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4Yfh66GnPRr1wHqSFMpgKP/aa9499f5d6826f0600828e8b1f13b18e/Friedrich_Merz.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.89],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:50.841567Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:21:55.270221Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108679","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-RODRIGOPAZPEREIRA","question":"Rodrigo Paz Pereira","group_item_title":"Rodrigo Paz Pereira","description":"If Rodrigo Paz Pereira has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Bolivia or has actually left President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.89],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T09:23:16.824580Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108661","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-JENSFREDERIKNIELSEN","question":"Jens-Frederik Nielsen","group_item_title":"Jens-Frederik Nielsen","description":"If Jens-Frederik Nielsen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Greenland or has actually left Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1OIi0UMSFgLdahbffLSiT4/86b41f046ba695433e2b0be9f53d4386/Jens-Frederik_Nielsen.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.88],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Greenland"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108659","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-VOLODYMYRZELENSKYY","question":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","group_item_title":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","description":"If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ukraine or has actually left President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/54JTmA44ksOgbLaQwrOPp2/cfb1a55b10c34cc4128917897919c460/Volodymyr_Zelenskyy.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.87],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:57.183151Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:21:53.244985Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108663","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-CYRILRAMAPHOSA","question":"Cyril Ramaphosa","group_item_title":"Cyril Ramaphosa","description":"If Cyril Ramaphosa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Africa or has actually left President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/xSJacebMz9hleeIEWJkcH/eedab838215e2ba5f6f92284173a4e42/Cyril_Ramaphosa.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.91],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Africa"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:50.841567Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108654","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-GIORGIAMELONI","question":"Giorgia Meloni","group_item_title":"Giorgia Meloni","description":"If Giorgia Meloni has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Italy or has actually left Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4oWQ0r75K2AAboBBmzjevZ/a0afc0fa03f83337630520f3799a05bb/Giorgia_Meloni.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.91],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Italy"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:57.183151Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:21:53.244985Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108671","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-LUIZINACIOLULADASILVA","question":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Brazil or has actually left President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/jSwQvhUHvNkPRDxQmalFv/5a9913e173f59b45c89c71be48196a28/Luiz_Ina%C3%8C_cio_Lula_da_Silva.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.91],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T06:07:55.198995Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108674","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-ALEKSANDARVUCIC","question":"Aleksandar Vučić","group_item_title":"Aleksandar Vučić","description":"If Aleksandar Vučić has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Serbia or has actually left President of Serbia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3qEXg4jV0PdhqszIcGi7hJ/c301db9666820308cda5a0a4d3330429/Aleksandar_Vuc%C3%8C_ic%C3%8C_.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.93],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:47:03.189169Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T11:47:03.189169Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108658","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-EMMANUELMACRON","question":"Emmanuel Macron","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron","description":"If Emmanuel Macron has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of France or has actually left President of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2IXaCNLlrweIbB1ysAvWp3/0f438ce712a75c7495475e1227df8723/Emmanuel_Macron.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.91],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:06:57.183151Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:21:53.244985Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108662","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-VLADIMIRPUTIN","question":"Vladimir Putin","group_item_title":"Vladimir Putin","description":"If Vladimir Putin has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Russia or has actually left President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7udhxCMmLAn403oez9R4SO/120b29e4013bc75b2babf5468e3c7c74/Vladimir_Putin.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.92],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:25:46.933187Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:01:18.055889Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108669","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-FELIXTSHISEKEDI","question":"Félix Tshisekedi","group_item_title":"Félix Tshisekedi","description":"If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1A1PFqOoa0HSZypT7GrCdk/68267d7388f78703232febadb7739b31/Fe%C3%8C_lix_Tshisekedi.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.95],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Democratic Republic of the Congo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:30.849451Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:30.849451Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108682","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-CLAUDIASHEINBAUM","question":"Claudia Sheinbaum","group_item_title":"Claudia Sheinbaum","description":"If Claudia Sheinbaum has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Mexico or has actually left President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/68PpKcGWLFV5ehjZRFeevh/e5093b259d0ba83de22fbec479b575a2/Claudia_Sheinbaum.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.96],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108666","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-AHMADALSHARAA","question":"Ahmad al-Sharaa","group_item_title":"Ahmad al-Sharaa","description":"If Ahmad al-Sharaa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Syria or has actually left President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/60xnveWrVdnJKg228IjjuH/0e8562e7e71d24e7d1c6afbb00c717a6/Ahmad_al-Sharaa.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.96],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Syria"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108667","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-DENISSASSOUNGUESSO","question":"Denis Sassou Nguesso","group_item_title":"Denis Sassou Nguesso","description":"If Denis Sassou Nguesso has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5SovUWVaVTfttAqt9GKv9x/64af4524463ea49a6c0e6d880690084b/Denis_Sassou_Nguesso.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.98],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Republic of the Congo"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108665","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-DANIELNOBOA","question":"Daniel Noboa","group_item_title":"Daniel Noboa","description":"If Daniel Noboa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ecuador or has actually left President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6iTrR0tJ5b7Cpc7IlX39US/e17eedb5e1016d85c4e94083077e7a3c/Daniel_Noboa.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.98],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ecuador"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:40:55.763328Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108677","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-NARENDRAMODI","question":"Narendra Modi","group_item_title":"Narendra Modi","description":"If Narendra Modi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of India or has actually left Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3FZnnTajOM99DhMlEZxxTl/e66cc3f45acccc1b34a87239d36c7fe8/Narendra_Modi.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.97],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:20:30.221322Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108664","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-MOHAMMEDBINSALMAN","question":"Mohammed bin Salman","group_item_title":"Mohammed bin Salman","description":"If Mohammed bin Salman has either officially announced their intention to leave as Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia or has actually left Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1C9ZRzGuvJwsQntNFvQWR9/139725c38c1337434b369e556bcc2fd6/Mohammed_bin_Salman.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.99],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:42:34.911830Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108670","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-JAVIERMILEI","question":"Javier Milei","group_item_title":"Javier Milei","description":"If Javier Milei has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Argentina or has actually left President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4cgQrIvx5rH58kWE9eodji/07c73979e6ae355df66881e08291b976/Javier_Milei.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.97],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:58:56.665657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T00:35:07.034703Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108672","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-MARKCARNEY","question":"Mark Carney","group_item_title":"Mark Carney","description":"If Mark Carney has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Canada or has actually left Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/54T7v8iCVBRq5RGrxz2dha/9445785af2bea538eefbcfffbcf485e1/Mark_Carney.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.99],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T10:45:27.730956Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T18:38:31.786818Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108678","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-IRFAANALI","question":"Irfaan Ali","group_item_title":"Irfaan Ali","description":"If Irfaan Ali has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Guyana or has actually left President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3H9VFvpHUSQDEWtwEon4BX/d3d9106b4d64bf3db029a40709b8efd8/Irfaan_Ali.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.99],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Guyana"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:17:50.841567Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T18:44:07.658602Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108683","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-SANAETAKAICHI","question":"Sanae Takaichi","group_item_title":"Sanae Takaichi","description":"If Sanae Takaichi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Japan or has actually left Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3NuDUtPSIMoSUijmLRG3HR/6436bf409abfae4f6405984d9d149aad/Sanae_Takaichi.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.97],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Japan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108660","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-RECEPTAYYIPERDOGAN","question":"Recep Tayyip Erdoğan","group_item_title":"Recep Tayyip Erdoğan","description":"If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Türkiye or has actually left President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4xlQiOhpYBdgkoqXevirzw/3fde3463a551d33b9ed080da300bc3f1/Recep_Tayyip_Erdog%C3%8C_an.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Turkey"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:39:40.025279Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108673","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-LEEJAEMYUNG","question":"Lee Jae Myung","group_item_title":"Lee Jae Myung","description":"If Lee Jae Myung has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Korea or has actually left President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4qohq3w5SeKxmrS9n9EM6U/cde533e50852e4eb1aa213c80d98bb83/Lee_Jae_Myung.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:40:55.763328Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108675","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-KIMJONGUN","question":"Kim Jong Un","group_item_title":"Kim Jong Un","description":"If Kim Jong Un has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of North Korea or has actually left Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6kM523t0K3v4rycd3ZQDf5/e5c549b4770878d45c251b8f76b37840/Kim_Jong_Un.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["North Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T20:00:02.787116Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108681","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-FREDERIKX","question":"Frederik X","group_item_title":"Frederik X","description":"If Frederik X has either officially announced their intention to leave as King of Denmark or has actually left King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7hQEBKWO6CLfU4HIqIfWBJ/6ba964ffa1de9ace6d7375c52f02cb07/Frederik_X.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:14:25.061748Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T20:29:20.768214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108680","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-NAYIBBUKELE","question":"Nayib Bukele","group_item_title":"Nayib Bukele","description":"If Nayib Bukele has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of El Salvador or has actually left President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6S2RjVABoiB4c3x2l9S82L/36c137aff9b8e9b537df10f09d6c55e4/Nayib_Bukele.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["El Salvador"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:10:36.148220Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T06:48:52.348189Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108676","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-XIJINPING","question":"Xi Jinping","group_item_title":"Xi Jinping","description":"If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2UEy8lZRs4DoIMZ3hbhBi2/535c19e7ca3acd58b809ccc0851f1acb/Xi_Jinping.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:55:32.964990Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-06T18:26:07.851642Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108649","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-VIKTORORBAN","question":"Viktor Orbán","group_item_title":"Viktor Orbán","description":"If Viktor Orbán has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Hungary or has actually left Prime Minister of Hungary before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3LSZjAFaBXQ4UAxPM4BLZ4/64a002c8ab48fcd1b415d2808c58a86d/Viktor_Orba%C3%8C_n.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Hungary"],"updated_at":"2026-06-08T22:42:32.355376Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:42:32.355376Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"15610-108655","event_id":"15610","slug":"GEMI-LEAVE2026-DELCYRODRIGUEZ","question":"Delcy Rodriguez","group_item_title":"Delcy Rodriguez","description":"If Delcy Rodriguez has either officially announced their intention to leave as Acting President of Venezuela or has actually left Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency. Temporary absences do not count. \n\nRead the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7jnXNmkzYDRKiS6X5NDkqi/d5f56b965c800f5f6265a6d4b9b1ae46/Delcy_Rodri%C3%8C_guez.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-08T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/LEAVE2026/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026","event_title":"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/15610","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:05:35.140092Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?\" — top market at 99% probability across 36 outcomes","source_url":null}}