{"source":"gemini","id":"166488","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN","slug":"alex-michelsen-vs-adrian-mannarino","title":"Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino","description":"Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-29T15:31:07.999000Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T11:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T01:38:06.223000Z","volume":7916.0,"volume_24hr":7916.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.61305618286133,"normalized_volume":50.12578582763672,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["ATP"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alex Michelsen","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:02.305783Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:02.305783Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T15:52:54.401264Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN/alex-michelsen-vs-adrian-mannarino","chart_24h":[0.0,65.0,71.0,7507.0,7745.0,7916.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"166488-402172","event_id":"166488","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN-MIC","question":"Alex Michelsen","group_item_title":"Alex Michelsen","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Alex Michelsen wins the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.08,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-29T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T11:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T01:38:06.046000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:06.195390Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:02.351400Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T15:52:54.666518Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN/alex-michelsen-vs-adrian-mannarino","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino","chart_24h":[0.77,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.88,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"166488-402174","event_id":"166488","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN-MAN","question":"Adrian Mannarino","group_item_title":"Adrian Mannarino","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Adrian Mannarino wins the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Alex Michelsen scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7rFibkECUoSzkz9Zulj7CF/0b7bf0a20e8d6939b02973f89704e354/077-france.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-29T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T11:45:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-30T01:38:06.223000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:06.195390Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:53:02.351400Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T15:52:54.666518Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPWAS-20260729-MIC-MAN/alex-michelsen-vs-adrian-mannarino","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino","chart_24h":[0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/166488","as_of":"2026-07-30T05:29:00.558261Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino\" — top market at 100% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}