{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/168105","as_of":"2026-10-12T22:46:12.173076Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Iowa-03 House Winner\" — \"Sarah Trone Garriott\" leads at 80% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/168105","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26IA-03/iowa-03-house-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"168105","ticker":"HOUSE26IA-03","slug":"iowa-03-house-winner","title":"Iowa-03 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Iowa-03?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T14:35:03.307000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1374.0,"volume_24hr":24.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.738301753997803,"normalized_volume":29.949527740478516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sarah Trone Garriott","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T16:19:35.605183Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T16:19:35.605183Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.091029Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26IA-03/iowa-03-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"168105-404932","event_id":"168105","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26IA-03-SARAHTRONEGARRIOTT","question":"Sarah Trone Garriott","group_item_title":"Sarah Trone Garriott","description":"If Sarah Trone Garriott wins the 2026 U.S. House election in IA-03, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.24],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T16:19:36.144251Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T16:19:36.144251Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26IA-03/iowa-03-house-winner","event_title":"Iowa-03 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8]},{"source":"gemini","id":"168105-404930","event_id":"168105","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26IA-03-ZACHNUNN","question":"Zach Nunn","group_item_title":"Zach Nunn","description":"If Zach Nunn wins the 2026 U.S. House election in IA-03, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.8],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T05:16:38.422197Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T05:16:38.422197Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26IA-03/iowa-03-house-winner","event_title":"Iowa-03 House Winner","chart_24h":null}]}