{"source":"gemini","id":"168110","ticker":"HOUSE26VA-02","slug":"virginia-02-house-winner","title":"Virginia-02 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia-02?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T14:35:03.870000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Elaine Luria","top_outcome_probability":0.83,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.091029Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.091029Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.091029Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26VA-02/virginia-02-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"168110-404941","event_id":"168110","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26VA-02-ELAINELURIA","question":"Elaine Luria","group_item_title":"Elaine Luria","description":"If Elaine Luria wins the 2026 U.S. House election in VA-02, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.22],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T01:24:35.729321Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T17:44:48.366561Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26VA-02/virginia-02-house-winner","event_title":"Virginia-02 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83]},{"source":"gemini","id":"168110-404943","event_id":"168110","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26VA-02-JENKIGGANS","question":"Jen Kiggans","group_item_title":"Jen Kiggans","description":"If Jen Kiggans wins the 2026 U.S. House election in VA-02, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.83],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T21:23:25.428251Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T21:09:42.664212Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26VA-02/virginia-02-house-winner","event_title":"Virginia-02 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23]},{"source":"gemini","id":"168110-404944","event_id":"168110","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26VA-02-NILADEVANATH","question":"Nila Devanath","group_item_title":"Nila Devanath","description":"If Nila Devanath wins the 2026 U.S. House election in VA-02, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T14:54:51.719151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26VA-02/virginia-02-house-winner","event_title":"Virginia-02 House Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/168110","as_of":"2026-08-10T02:17:00.850534Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Virginia-02 House Winner\" — top market at 83% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}