{"source":"gemini","id":"168192","ticker":"SPACEXAUG","slug":"how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","description":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Rocket_68a4a31d-5d2f-448d-9cd0-d8cb032d6a57.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-30T15:24:42.956000Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["Space"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 14","top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.344698Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.344698Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.344698Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405185","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE14","question":"Above 14","group_item_title":"Above 14","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 14 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 14 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405186","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE13","question":"Above 13","group_item_title":"Above 13","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 13 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 13 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405187","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE11","question":"Above 11","group_item_title":"Above 11","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 11 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 11 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405188","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE10","question":"Above 10","group_item_title":"Above 10","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 10 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 10 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405189","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE12","question":"Above 12","group_item_title":"Above 12","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 12 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 12 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405190","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE15","question":"Above 15","group_item_title":"Above 15","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 15 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX  (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 15 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405191","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE16","question":"Above 16","group_item_title":"Above 16","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 16 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 16 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405192","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE18","question":"Above 18","group_item_title":"Above 18","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 18 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 18 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"168192-405193","event_id":"168192","slug":"GEMI-SPACEXAUG-SPACEXAUGABOVE17","question":"Above 17","group_item_title":"Above 17","description":"If SpaceX completes more than 17 orbital launches during August 2026, this market will resolve to Yes. Resolution will be based on official launch records published by SpaceX (https://www.spacex.com/launches) and other authoritative launch records. If 17 or fewer orbital launches occur during August 2026, this market will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Ff1222bf4026d422f85ecae21f6da4927?alt=media&token=654238b0-abd9-4f47-ae39-6ceac39f41c0&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","added_at":"2026-07-30T15:36:13.581661Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/SPACEXAUG/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-august","event_title":"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/168192","as_of":"2026-07-31T04:50:16.895587Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"How many launches will SpaceX have in August?\" — top market at 0% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}