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Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.31],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.04,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T08:55:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-05T22:44:18.011393Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T22:44:18.011393Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T13:54:46.491751Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPMON-20260805-MIC-CER/alex-michelsen-vs-francisco-cerundolo","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo","chart_24h":[0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.8,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"gemini","id":"176750-424360","event_id":"176750","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPMON-20260805-MIC-CER-CER","question":"Francisco Cerundolo","group_item_title":"Francisco Cerundolo","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Francisco Cerundolo wins the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alex Michelsen scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fc2d5e4e082ad4474aed8dc47ce46c601?alt=media&token=87c8f8b7-0646-4105-bb60-6ee4307ce404&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/78Nf1ZKzpIiDLhEmF8mF3G/13bc1be29fc55704f475c18ee6db2d78/064-argentina.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.73],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.04,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T08:55:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T01:46:27.202014Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-05T22:44:18.011393Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T13:54:46.491751Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPMON-20260805-MIC-CER/alex-michelsen-vs-francisco-cerundolo","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo","chart_24h":[0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/176750","as_of":"2026-08-06T02:23:54.515276Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo\" — top market at 73% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}