{"source":"gemini","id":"178979","ticker":"XAU2608062100","slug":"gold-price-on-august-6","title":"Gold price on August 6?","description":"Interval XAU price prediction event expiring on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Gold_a6abce51-478a-47b9-9873-0428ab6a9793.avif","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T19:56:36.575000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:33.040000Z","volume":4186.0,"volume_24hr":4186.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":56.02424621582031,"normalized_volume":43.220375061035156,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Gold"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4,200 or above","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.033796Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.033796Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:52.050130Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","chart_24h":[235.0,245.0,256.0,266.0,276.0,406.0,416.0,426.0,427.0,474.0,484.0,714.0,767.0,777.0,3370.0,3986.0,4186.0,4186.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-429549","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4200","question":"$4,200 or above","group_item_title":"$4,200 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,200 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:32.655000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:53.929386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.89,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-429552","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4225","question":"$4,225 or above","group_item_title":"$4,225 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,225 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:33.034000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.31999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:53.929386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.7,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.71,0.91,0.95,0.87,0.77,0.61,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.88,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-432658","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4175","question":"$4,175 or above","group_item_title":"$4,175 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,175 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:32.467000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T13:25:08.352322Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-429556","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4250","question":"$4,250 or above","group_item_title":"$4,250 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,250 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:33.040000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.51,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:53.929386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.64,0.71,0.44,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.55,0.4,0.28,0.4,0.25,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-429560","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4275","question":"$4,275 or above","group_item_title":"$4,275 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,275 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:33.034000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.34,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:53.929386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.43,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.17,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-429563","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4300","question":"$4,300 or above","group_item_title":"$4,300 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,300 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:32.599000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T20:19:53.929386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.99,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.99,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.03,0.02,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-430745","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4325","question":"$4,325 or above","group_item_title":"$4,325 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,325 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:32.178000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T23:45:45.583605Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"178979-430865","event_id":"178979","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608062100-HI4350","question":"$4,350 or above","group_item_title":"$4,350 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,350 or above on August 6, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-05T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T21:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-06T21:00:32.061000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:24.191830Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T21:16:20.040345Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T00:44:10.668582Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608062100/gold-price-on-august-6","event_title":"Gold price on August 6?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.01,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/178979","as_of":"2026-08-06T21:48:04.741974Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Gold price on August 6?\" — top market at 100% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}