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Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T09:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T06:25:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999993,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:40:51.953671Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T02:57:33.004879Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T16:10:20.435127Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/UFC-TUR-FER-20260815/turner-vs-fernandes","event_title":"Turner vs Fernandes","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"gemini","id":"187358-449829","event_id":"187358","slug":"GEMI-UFC-TUR-FER-20260815-FER","question":"Kaue Fernandes","group_item_title":"Kaue Fernandes","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Kaue Fernandes wins the Turner vs Fernandes professional MMA fight scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. 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