{"source":"gemini","id":"1883","ticker":"PRES2028","slug":"presidential-election-winner-2028","title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","description":"Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T18:28:50.280000Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43641.0,"volume_24hr":199.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.34760284423828,"normalized_volume":63.09829330444336,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Marco Rubio","top_outcome_probability":0.23,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:29:17.660986Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:29:17.660986Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","chart_24h":[113.0,199.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10718","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-RUBIO","question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":"This market will resolve on whether Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Marco Rubio.  If all three sources have not called the race for Marco Rubio by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Marco Rubio is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4npmr6wXmeWkcmI47q7Wo4/4f221215113d7fc488c5163527ad634b/Marco_Rubio.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.88],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:58.009668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T12:48:37.410432Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10719","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-VANCE","question":"JD Vance","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":"This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.  If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6wOlaLivMCVHeVot0sxQw/f43950cab07309c2725deb335e38ee57/JD_Vance.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.92],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:18:26.198650Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:49:49.770605Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10720","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-NEWSOM","question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":"This market will resolve on whether Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Gavin Newsom.  If all three sources have not called the race for Gavin Newsom by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Gavin Newsom is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1DdBp9d7fDX3hospIFbRKZ/7047bbf46de6c665dd09b2aa9df9a689/Gavin_Newsom.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.92],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:09.439397Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:04.586522Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10716","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-HARRIS","question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":"This market will resolve on whether Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Kamala Harris.  If all three sources have not called the race for Kamala Harris by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7FApaKNGgmH8VHXu1DsiOp/136a36918b32ec6063542d711affe4a1/Kamala_Harris.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.99],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:35:24.412749Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T12:23:06.259647Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10717","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-AOC","question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":"This market will resolve on whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.  If all three sources have not called the race for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7esVJodX8D8Ecu2unkHbw2/9969285bbed93170cc4c2cbd01d69414/Alexandria_Ocasio-Cortez.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.96],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:29:17.794997Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:29:17.794997Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10721","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-OSSOFF","question":"Jon Ossoff","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":"This market will resolve on whether Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Jon Ossoff.  If all three sources have not called the race for Jon Ossoff by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Jon Ossoff is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Jon Ossoff is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/JgVoRLMZEzQ60HkKm24b9/35efd88b4bb0681da659e5b3fb3c0516/John_Ossoff.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10722","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-TRUMP","question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"This market will resolve on whether Donald Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Donald Trump.  If all three sources have not called the race for Donald Trump by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/jbx96sgY9MSvZBiair320/56826999b661e33deb3ad23ac3ef57e8/Donald_J._Trump.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:07:44.984935Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10724","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-SHAPIRO","question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":"This market will resolve on whether Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Josh Shapiro.  If all three sources have not called the race for Josh Shapiro by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Josh Shapiro is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Josh Shapiro is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/55IFSzltVWeRCY7iqGVDzT/8747b0efe6a22ed8b69cf8b426ca586a/Josh_Shapiro.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:48:46.570271Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10726","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-BESHEAR","question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":"This market will resolve on whether Andy Beshear wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Andy Beshear.  If all three sources have not called the race for Andy Beshear by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Andy Beshear is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Andy Beshear is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/705tO1xWUWjZMqPx6SWerK/fc484081c3ba560674ad013c97e52e94/Andy_Beshear.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-07T00:08:38.397073Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10725","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-BUTTIGIEG","question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":"This market will resolve on whether Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Pete Buttigieg.  If all three sources have not called the race for Pete Buttigieg by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Pete Buttigieg is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Pete Buttigieg is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4GFoWNkw1zP3hS6gN1Iz5a/fdd3f475944be6c750065370284f304e/Pete_Buttgieg.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T10:45:27.730956Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T18:18:06.838371Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1883-10723","event_id":"1883","slug":"GEMI-PRES2028-THEROCK","question":"Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson","group_item_title":"Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson","description":"This market will resolve on whether Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().  Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson.  If all three sources have not called the race for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.  If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.  Otherwise, the market resolve to NO.  This event is mutually exclusive.","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3VjWjUndnZwXAI1kJaVO9s/2193d7152705a385c9bca059d137aa59/Dwayne_-The_Rock-_Johnson.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/PRES2028/presidential-election-winner-2028","event_title":"Presidential Election Winner 2028?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/1883","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:19:37.550618Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Presidential Election Winner 2028?\" — top market at 23% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}