{"source":"gemini","id":"1887","ticker":"REPNOM2028","slug":"2028-republican-nominee-for-president","title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","description":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T21:37:05.749000Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25154.0,"volume_24hr":58.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.051281929016113,"normalized_volume":56.75813293457031,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"J.D. Vance","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:34:53.968471Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T16:34:53.968471Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10850","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028JDVANCE","question":"J.D. Vance","group_item_title":"J.D. Vance","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf J.D. Vance wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6wOlaLivMCVHeVot0sxQw/f43950cab07309c2725deb335e38ee57/JD_Vance.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.74],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.246470Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:37:50.246470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10846","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028MARCORUBIO","question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Marco Rubio wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4npmr6wXmeWkcmI47q7Wo4/4f221215113d7fc488c5163527ad634b/Marco_Rubio.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.84],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:38:42.818070Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:38:38.533401Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10848","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028DONALDJTRUMP","question":"Donald J. Trump","group_item_title":"Donald J. Trump","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Donald J. Trump wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/jbx96sgY9MSvZBiair320/56826999b661e33deb3ad23ac3ef57e8/Donald_J._Trump.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.95],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:55:32.964990Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T17:06:40.812563Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10849","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028RONDESANTIS","question":"Ron DeSantis","group_item_title":"Ron DeSantis","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Ron DeSantis wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1iqe10bhWoCTNbNjSzcMh7/04372ea02d2c67d0bdadced83290c7f7/Ron_DeSantis.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.97],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:38:42.818070Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10854","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028THOMASMASSIE","question":"Thomas Massie","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Massie wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Thomas Massie wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/5atLdtjVr64zdidYiOK5j6/a504ba12b5082050bb48051576972988/Thomas_Massie.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-19T15:33:12.099561Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10847","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028DONALDJTRUMPJR","question":"Donald J. Trump Jr.","group_item_title":"Donald J. Trump Jr.","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump Jr. wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Donald J. Trump Jr. wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2TRV1MNJtQxiAAVQp4al3G/9a5b1dbe172b25222d17a3757b99368f/Donald_J._Trump_Jr..png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:19:15.066105Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10856","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028GLENNYOUNGKIN","question":"Glenn Youngkin","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Glenn Youngkin wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Glenn Youngkin wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7pj2sRfGrp0ZE4OPnamYRS/ca89e2bdfd796511dd8d235488937a0e/Glenn_Youngkin.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10851","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028MARJORIETAYLOR","question":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","group_item_title":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marjorie Taylor Greene wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Marjorie Taylor Greene wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3zQendzVThUTwZcY3h6VZD/e2ba03c0d9914665d97683cefcf9f94b/Majorie_Taylor_Greene.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10855","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028BRIANKEMP","question":"Brian Kemp","group_item_title":"Brian Kemp","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brian Kemp wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Brian Kemp wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4OR1kZqDcZem6Rn7IXxtAh/673e6342beffe399c4d5944cac1a6b0c/Brian_Kemp.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10858","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028NIKKIHALEY","question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Nikki Haley wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<(https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2irmSduHlXu8D4naLqTbaB/cde3240a52230c3f88c170e306a3581d/Nikki_Haley.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10852","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028GREGABBOTT","question":"Greg Abbott","group_item_title":"Greg Abbott","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greg Abbott wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Greg Abbott wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6BLxs3O4n82JMaGGABJfTR/79a747c0e14fdbdaea7aa3e03386f44f/Greg_Abbott.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10853","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028BYRONDONALDS","question":"Byron Donalds","group_item_title":"Byron Donalds","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Byron Donalds wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Byron Donalds wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2CFSuXsYNkSksVvbkT0hiv/32a845cc49c4fff0437391c9e03569ce/Byron_Donalds.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1887-10857","event_id":"1887","slug":"GEMI-REPNOM2028-REPNOM2028TEDCRUZ","question":"Ted Cruz","group_item_title":"Ted Cruz","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ted Cruz wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf Ted Cruz wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<(https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F07130b4b214241238d69c3847fecf05d?alt=media&token=a3e1638c-83ec-40ce-9c6a-c915d91344aa&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)>)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7cBNIP4Da845pAJW7YM2Al/ad1aba8fcb5439ef25519e1bbd7a0221/Ted_Cruz.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:03:20.433247Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:26.968364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/REPNOM2028/2028-republican-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Republican Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/1887","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:17:35.914704Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"2028 Republican Nominee for President?\" — top market at 41% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}