{"source":"gemini","id":"1889","ticker":"DEMNOM2028","slug":"2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","description":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/hWnwG7lL8v0mE8HxAH70G/08335ed6d1ca55ff2c43d3c45adaa354/White_House.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T22:02:11.412000Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30100.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.768644332885742,"normalized_volume":58.78687286376953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Presidential"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gavin Newsom","top_outcome_probability":0.31,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.075078Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:42.075078Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10935","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28NEWSOM","question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1DdBp9d7fDX3hospIFbRKZ/7047bbf46de6c665dd09b2aa9df9a689/Gavin_Newsom.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.81],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:55:32.964990Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:55:21.097172Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.32,0.31]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10934","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28AOC","question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7esVJodX8D8Ecu2unkHbw2/9969285bbed93170cc4c2cbd01d69414/Alexandria_Ocasio-Cortez.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.98],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:30.045593Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:38:21.839946Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.14,0.15]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10936","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28HARRIS","question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7FApaKNGgmH8VHXu1DsiOp/136a36918b32ec6063542d711affe4a1/Kamala_Harris.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.98],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:33:19.220986Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T13:02:57.414643Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10937","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28OSS","question":"Jon Ossoff","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jon Ossoff wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/JgVoRLMZEzQ60HkKm24b9/35efd88b4bb0681da659e5b3fb3c0516/John_Ossoff.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.99],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:46:12.661470Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T22:46:12.661470Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10933","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28SHAP","question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/55IFSzltVWeRCY7iqGVDzT/8747b0efe6a22ed8b69cf8b426ca586a/Josh_Shapiro.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.96],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:39.971107Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10942","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28BUTTIG","question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4GFoWNkw1zP3hS6gN1Iz5a/fdd3f475944be6c750065370284f304e/Pete_Buttgieg.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.97],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10939","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28BESHEA","question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/705tO1xWUWjZMqPx6SWerK/fc484081c3ba560674ad013c97e52e94/Andy_Beshear.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:26:39.971107Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T17:57:41.580623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10938","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28PRITZK","question":"J.B. Pritzker","group_item_title":"J.B. Pritzker","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.B. Pritzker wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/32RMO1rZxppfF9zxRW8Jza/6bbe0d94e437916aa8b7abd7e04c34c7/J.B._Pritzker.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:58:56.665657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T00:26:38.642952Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10940","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28KELLY","question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6CsttjI1hoaBDvnDh1xpFu/e1ec6f21ca0f8752ba3562ba8a97f952/Mark_Kelly.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T13:29:59.003282Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T21:42:25.649550Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10941","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28WHITME","question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3WGKHMvFaWH1JTon11HH45/018ca092e896ff5e52118af08d11c805/Gretchen_Whitmer.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:48:17.150888Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-11T23:07:43.799130Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"1889-10943","event_id":"1889","slug":"GEMI-DEMNOM2028-DEMNOM28MOORE","question":"Wes Moore","group_item_title":"Wes Moore","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\nThe resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.\nIf the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.\nThis event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2nMjwVfydA21yA9q73FskW/ec71c28508135c725f6f08a58c299730/Wes_Moore.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:22:09.104081Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-12T08:13:39.482981Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/DEMNOM2028/2028-democratic-nominee-for-president","event_title":"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/1889","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:17:19.865288Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"2028 Democratic Nominee for President?\" — top market at 31% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}