{"source":"gemini","id":"189509","ticker":"NGAS2608122100","slug":"natural-gas-price-on-august-12","title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","description":"Interval NGAS price prediction event expiring on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Natural_Gas_1_107dcbbb-92b0-47d6-add7-4d70e6e17e20.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T19:56:06.730000Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4265.0,"volume_24hr":4265.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.649192810058594,"normalized_volume":45.941768646240234,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Natural Gas"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$2.75 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.33999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.381359Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.381359Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.755943Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","chart_24h":[0.0,150.0,807.0,1215.0,1430.0,3167.0,3235.0,4170.0,4223.0,4265.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-454591","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D750","question":"$2.75 or above","group_item_title":"$2.75 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.75 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.03],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T16:56:52.917244Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T16:56:43.970498Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.842691Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-454600","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D800","question":"$2.8 or above","group_item_title":"$2.8 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.8 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.6],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.59,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.6599999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.842691Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-455043","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D725","question":"$2.725 or above","group_item_title":"$2.725 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.725 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.02],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.19999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T13:49:24.114845Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T13:49:13.269477Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T21:05:25.322947Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-454595","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D775","question":"$2.775 or above","group_item_title":"$2.775 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.775 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:49.032707Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.842691Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.76,0.76,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.87]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-454603","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D825","question":"$2.825 or above","group_item_title":"$2.825 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.825 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.19],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.6499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:49.032707Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.842691Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.56,0.34,0.47,0.56,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.17,0.81,0.91,0.85]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-454607","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D850","question":"$2.85 or above","group_item_title":"$2.85 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.85 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:49.032707Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T20:02:35.842691Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.41,0.47,0.22,0.48,0.99,0.48,0.4,0.08,0.07,0.31,0.39,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-457056","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D900","question":"$2.9 or above","group_item_title":"$2.9 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.9 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:40:27.411863Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:40:12.484198Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T11:34:08.662268Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.09]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-456271","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D875","question":"$2.875 or above","group_item_title":"$2.875 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.875 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.99],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:49.032707Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T19:21:39.710976Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T03:38:45.284283Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189509-457141","event_id":"189509","slug":"GEMI-NGAS2608122100-HI2D925","question":"$2.925 or above","group_item_title":"$2.925 or above","description":"If the price of Natural Gas is $2.925 or above on August 12, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_NATGASUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [NATGAS-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NATGAS) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NATGAS1_Terms_and_Conditions_74071889-27c7-4398-9fc7-203097d4d2c2.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-12T18:40:27.411863Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-12T18:40:12.484198Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T12:26:52.884492Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NGAS2608122100/natural-gas-price-on-august-12","event_title":"Natural Gas price on August 12?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/189509","as_of":"2026-08-12T19:27:41.006310Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Natural Gas price on August 12?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}