{"source":"gemini","id":"189586","ticker":"NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M","slug":"toledo-vs-michigan-state","title":"Toledo vs Michigan State","description":"Toledo vs Michigan State","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Football_fb67fb13-3768-40c7-a99d-cbe2644d299e.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:51:23.337000Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15511.41,"volume_24hr":14280.52,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":69.16814422607422,"normalized_volume":58.73198699951172,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["College Football"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Michigan State","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.408900Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.408900Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T21:05:25.176923Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M/toledo-vs-michigan-state","chart_24h":[1094.32,2099.85,2112.46,2144.02,2211.26,2220.34,1897.38,2023.63,2043.38,2117.66,2140.27,2077.91,2215.11,3341.92,4848.76,13754.14],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"189586-454967","event_id":"189586","slug":"GEMI-NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M-MSU","question":"Michigan State","group_item_title":"Michigan State","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Michigan State wins the College Football game\n between Michigan State and Toledo originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event\n. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the  [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Michigan_State_Spartans_3a84aa38-2ef3-403e-9380-917ea0ea54a0.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.19],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:51:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.654049Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.654049Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T21:05:25.322947Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M/toledo-vs-michigan-state","event_title":"Toledo vs Michigan State","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.96]},{"source":"gemini","id":"189586-454966","event_id":"189586","slug":"GEMI-NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M-TOL","question":"Toledo","group_item_title":"Toledo","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Toledo wins the College Football game\n between Toledo and Michigan State originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event\n. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the  [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Toledo_Rockets_a777c00d-8ef2-407c-a1b6-5f89c7f25142.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.85],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-11T20:51:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.654049Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T02:10:41.654049Z","added_at":"2026-08-11T21:05:25.322947Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/NCAAF-2609050000-TOL-MSU-M/toledo-vs-michigan-state","event_title":"Toledo vs Michigan State","chart_24h":[0.24,0.15,0.11,0.08]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/189586","as_of":"2026-09-05T02:23:25.851511Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Toledo vs Michigan State\" — top market at 85% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}