{"source":"gemini","id":"193677","ticker":"XAU2608212100","slug":"gold-price-on-august-21","title":"Gold price on August 21?","description":"Interval XAU price prediction event expiring on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Gold_a6abce51-478a-47b9-9873-0428ab6a9793.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T03:56:39.514000Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2242.0,"volume_24hr":1427.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.045143127441406,"normalized_volume":37.281070709228516,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Gold"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4,275 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.284022Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.284022Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.311175Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","chart_24h":[300.0,165.0,302.0,623.0,635.0,664.0,679.0,693.0,577.0,588.0,712.0,723.0,748.0,759.0,770.0,786.0,928.0,1372.0,1539.0,1484.0,1440.0,1427.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-463938","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4275","question":"$4,275 or above","group_item_title":"$4,275 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,275 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.05],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.549437Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.644558Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-463942","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4300","question":"$4,300 or above","group_item_title":"$4,300 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,300 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.05],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.18999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.549437Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.644558Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-463946","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4325","question":"$4,325 or above","group_item_title":"$4,325 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,325 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.02],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.644558Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.98]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-463949","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4350","question":"$4,350 or above","group_item_title":"$4,350 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,350 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.04],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.644558Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.88,0.88,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-463952","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4375","question":"$4,375 or above","group_item_title":"$4,375 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,375 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.06],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.48999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T04:09:11.644558Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.78,0.78,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-464404","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4400","question":"$4,400 or above","group_item_title":"$4,400 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,400 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.1],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.5700000000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.549437Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T07:56:31.678152Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.99,0.27,0.19,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.91]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-465010","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4425","question":"$4,425 or above","group_item_title":"$4,425 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,425 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.17],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.61,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T11:45:34.217723Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.54,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.86]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-465194","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4450","question":"$4,450 or above","group_item_title":"$4,450 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,450 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.27],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T13:49:49.470507Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.99,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.73]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-476203","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4475","question":"$4,475 or above","group_item_title":"$4,475 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,475 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.4],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.53,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-17T01:16:40.977975Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-487005","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4500","question":"$4,500 or above","group_item_title":"$4,500 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,500 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.53],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:24:25.606619Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:23:55.549437Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T13:15:41.004706Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-487148","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4525","question":"$4,525 or above","group_item_title":"$4,525 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,525 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.71],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T13:36:34.021870Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.36,0.36,0.29]},{"source":"gemini","id":"193677-487426","event_id":"193677","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608212100-HI4550","question":"$4,550 or above","group_item_title":"$4,550 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,550 or above on August 21, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.77],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T04:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-19T16:45:24.873248Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-19T16:44:57.698718Z","added_at":"2026-08-19T14:39:29.588793Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608212100/gold-price-on-august-21","event_title":"Gold price on August 21?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/193677","as_of":"2026-08-19T16:59:18.416272Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Gold price on August 21?\" — top market at 99% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}