{"source":"gemini","id":"194514","ticker":"WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359","slug":"highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","description":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2BiWV9SmaYExUE5hU3GyQ0/644a52d706396ca91669affd8b3c39df/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T14:41:46.517000Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":["Daily Temperature"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"97°F to 98°F","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.849386Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.849386Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.849386Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465378","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-97TO98","question":"97°F to 98°F","group_item_title":"97°F to 98°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.45],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:17.080445Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6]},{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465377","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-95TO96","question":"95°F to 96°F","group_item_title":"95°F to 96°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.72],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3]},{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465379","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-99TO100","question":"99°F to 100°F","group_item_title":"99°F to 100°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.95],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:17.080445Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11]},{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465376","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-93TO94","question":"93°F to 94°F","group_item_title":"93°F to 94°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.96],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T04:31:09.291175Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465380","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-HI101","question":"101°F or above","group_item_title":"101°F or above","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T02:07:31.128396Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T02:07:19.696551Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02]},{"source":"gemini","id":"194514-465375","event_id":"194514","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359-LO92","question":"92°F or below","group_item_title":"92°F or below","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport, TX on August 15, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston/Hobby Airport, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Houston/Hobby Airport on August 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T14:52:10.932814Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-HOU-2608160359/highest-temperature-in-houston-on-august-15-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/194514","as_of":"2026-08-15T04:47:59.075477Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Highest temperature in Houston on August 15, 2026?\" — top market at 60% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}