{"source":"gemini","id":"196152","ticker":"WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359","slug":"highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","description":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/2BiWV9SmaYExUE5hU3GyQ0/644a52d706396ca91669affd8b3c39df/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T12:55:01.573000Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":["Daily Temperature"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"103°F to 104°F","top_outcome_probability":0.71,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.469084Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.469084Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.469084Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469497","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-103TO104","question":"103°F to 104°F","group_item_title":"103°F to 104°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.33],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:40:39.668692Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:40:39.668692Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.71]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469496","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-101TO102","question":"101°F to 102°F","group_item_title":"101°F to 102°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.84],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:20:15.251857Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:19:48.008301Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469498","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-105TO106","question":"105°F to 106°F","group_item_title":"105°F to 106°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.92],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:40:39.668692Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:40:39.668692Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469499","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-107TO108","question":"107°F to 108°F","group_item_title":"107°F to 108°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.99],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:20:15.251857Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:19:48.008301Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469495","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-LO100","question":"100°F or below","group_item_title":"100°F or below","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:20:15.251857Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:19:48.008301Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196152-469500","event_id":"196152","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359-HI109","question":"109°F or above","group_item_title":"109°F or above","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth, TX on August 16, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for August 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-15T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-15T18:54:45.342753Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T18:54:38.541058Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T14:06:44.549151Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-DFW-2608170359/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-august-16-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/196152","as_of":"2026-08-16T04:41:55.152671Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16, 2026?\" — top market at 71% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}