{"source":"gemini","id":"196617","ticker":"MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S","slug":"baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","description":"What will the run difference be?","image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T19:06:38.756000Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:17.481000Z","volume":1333.83,"volume_24hr":1333.83,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.770713806152344,"normalized_volume":34.023921966552734,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Pro Baseball"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.85,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.366272Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.366272Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:07.987080Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","chart_24h":[122.94,368.83,1333.83,1333.83],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470706","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-BAL3","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 3.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore Orioles's score minus Tampa Bay Rays's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:17.007000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:31:31.423343Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.97,0.99,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470709","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-BAL2","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 2.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore Orioles's score minus Tampa Bay Rays's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:17.315000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.78,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:31:31.423343Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.37,0.99,0.94,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470717","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-BAL1","question":"Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs","group_item_title":"Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baltimore Orioles in the entire Pro Baseball game between Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Baltimore Orioles's score minus Tampa Bay Rays's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Baltimore_OriolesDark_b7ae944f-27fe-4fbe-ac40-3aee841fc8c4.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:17.140000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.6799999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T21:50:11.988096Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.59,0.87,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470703","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-TB3","question":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 runs","group_item_title":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay Rays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay Rays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Tampa_Bay_RaysDark_15662b3a-8294-4531-a962-9914fbc2c1f6.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.02,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:17.481000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.2,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:31:31.423343Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470712","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-TB1","question":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs","group_item_title":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay Rays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay Rays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Tampa_Bay_RaysDark_15662b3a-8294-4531-a962-9914fbc2c1f6.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:16.866000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T21:50:11.988096Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.08,0.08,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"196617-470714","event_id":"196617","slug":"GEMI-MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S-TB2","question":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs","group_item_title":"Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs","description":"This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay Rays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No.\n\nIf the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.\n\nThe Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay Rays's score minus Baltimore Orioles's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Tampa_Bay_RaysDark_15662b3a-8294-4531-a962-9914fbc2c1f6.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-15T05:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T22:15:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-16T19:13:16.699000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:31:31.423343Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T19:25:05.498492Z","added_at":"2026-08-15T19:15:08.275094Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLB-2608161615-BAL-TB-S/baltimore-vs-tampa-bay-point-spread","event_title":"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread","chart_24h":[0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/196617","as_of":"2026-08-16T22:34:19.620408Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Point Spread\" — top market at 100% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}