{"source":"gemini","id":"201901","ticker":"ILPM26","slug":"who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","description":"","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:51:03.160000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["International"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Naftali Bennett","top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.124510Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.124510Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.124510Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483410","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-BENNETT","question":"Naftali Bennett","group_item_title":"Naftali Bennett","description":"If Naftali Bennett is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Naftali Bennett must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Naftali Bennett has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483411","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-NETANYAHU","question":"Benjamin Netanyahu","group_item_title":"Benjamin Netanyahu","description":"If Benjamin Netanyahu is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Benjamin Netanyahu must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Benjamin Netanyahu has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483412","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-LIEBERMAN","question":"Avigdor Lieberman","group_item_title":"Avigdor Lieberman","description":"If Avigdor Lieberman is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Avigdor Lieberman must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Avigdor Lieberman has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483413","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-OHANA","question":"Amir Ohana","group_item_title":"Amir Ohana","description":"If Amir Ohana is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Amir Ohana must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Amir Ohana has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483414","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-EIZENKOT","question":"Gadi Eizenkot","group_item_title":"Gadi Eizenkot","description":"If Gadi Eizenkot is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Gadi Eizenkot must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Gadi Eizenkot has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"201901-483415","event_id":"201901","slug":"GEMI-ILPM26-FEIGLIN","question":"Moshe Feiglin","group_item_title":"Moshe Feiglin","description":"If Moshe Feiglin is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election. To qualify for resolution, Moshe Feiglin must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister. Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify. If Moshe Feiglin has not been sworn in as Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, this contract will resolve to No. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary. This event is mutually exclusive. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T15:36:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","added_at":"2026-08-18T18:52:44.222138Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/ILPM26/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","event_title":"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/201901","as_of":"2026-08-26T02:12:53.337606Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?\" — top market at 0% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}