{"source":"gemini","id":"207109","ticker":"HOUSE26AZ-01","slug":"arizona-01-house-winner","title":"Arizona-01 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Arizona-01?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T16:11:43.184000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Amish Shah","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:20.359365Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:20.359365Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.224837Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26AZ-01/arizona-01-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"207109-496303","event_id":"207109","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26AZ-01-AMISHSHAH","question":"Amish Shah","group_item_title":"Amish Shah","description":"If Amish Shah wins the 2026 U.S. House election in AZ-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.25],"probability":0.76,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:02.704945Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T23:44:02.704945Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26AZ-01/arizona-01-house-winner","event_title":"Arizona-01 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.77,0.76]},{"source":"gemini","id":"207109-496306","event_id":"207109","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26AZ-01-JAYFEELY","question":"Jay Feely","group_item_title":"Jay Feely","description":"If Jay Feely wins the 2026 U.S. House election in AZ-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.74],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T17:15:24.238340Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T17:15:24.238340Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26AZ-01/arizona-01-house-winner","event_title":"Arizona-01 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/207109","as_of":"2026-09-09T01:15:52.384051Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Arizona-01 House Winner\" — top market at 76% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}