{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/207114","as_of":"2026-11-04T02:32:34.524811Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"North Carolina-01 Winner\" — \"Don Davis\" leads at 97% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/207114","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26NC-01/north-carolina-01-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"207114","ticker":"HOUSE26NC-01","slug":"north-carolina-01-winner","title":"North Carolina-01 Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina-01?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T16:11:43.674000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":943.01,"volume_24hr":138.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.422409057617188,"normalized_volume":25.10800552368164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Don Davis","top_outcome_probability":0.97,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T23:41:10.893854Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T23:41:10.893854Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.224837Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26NC-01/north-carolina-01-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"207114-496317","event_id":"207114","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26NC-01-DONDAVIS","question":"Don Davis","group_item_title":"Don Davis","description":"If Don Davis wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NC-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.08],"probability":0.97,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T02:21:02.626166Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T02:21:02.626166Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26NC-01/north-carolina-01-winner","event_title":"North Carolina-01 Winner","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.97]},{"source":"gemini","id":"207114-496316","event_id":"207114","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26NC-01-LAURIEBUCKHOUT","question":"Laurie Buckhout","group_item_title":"Laurie Buckhout","description":"If Laurie Buckhout wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NC-01, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.97],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.08,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T02:21:02.626166Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T02:21:02.626166Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26NC-01/north-carolina-01-winner","event_title":"North Carolina-01 Winner","chart_24h":[0.16,0.17,0.42,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.04,0.08]}]}