{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/207122","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:11:06.925405Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Michigan-04 House Winner\" — \"Sean McCann\" leads at 65% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/207122","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-04/michigan-04-house-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"207122","ticker":"HOUSE26MI-04","slug":"michigan-04-house-winner","title":"Michigan-04 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Michigan-04?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-21T16:11:44.308000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":87.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.080700874328613,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sean McCann","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T01:39:24.800485Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T01:39:24.800485Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.224837Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-04/michigan-04-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"207122-496330","event_id":"207122","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-04-SEANMCCANN","question":"Sean McCann","group_item_title":"Sean McCann","description":"If Sean McCann wins the 2026 U.S. House election in MI-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.39],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:21.384230Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:21.384230Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-04/michigan-04-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-04 House Winner","chart_24h":null},{"source":"gemini","id":"207122-496328","event_id":"207122","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26MI-04-BILLHUIZENGA","question":"Bill Huizenga","group_item_title":"Bill Huizenga","description":"If Bill Huizenga wins the 2026 U.S. House election in MI-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.64],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:21.384230Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T22:50:21.384230Z","added_at":"2026-08-21T16:29:58.453413Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26MI-04/michigan-04-house-winner","event_title":"Michigan-04 House Winner","chart_24h":null}]}