{"source":"gemini","id":"209731","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA","slug":"arthur-fils-vs-frances-tiafoe","title":"Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe","description":"Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T03:50:34.388000Z","end_date":"2026-08-24T08:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38416.23,"volume_24hr":38416.23,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":91.80813598632812,"normalized_volume":69.78669738769531,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["ATP"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Arthur Fils","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.32999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-23T23:04:27.288979Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T23:04:27.288979Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T03:55:11.880136Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA/arthur-fils-vs-frances-tiafoe","chart_24h":[0.0,13.65,35.53,833.11,871.47,1167.6,1291.62,2328.47,13676.41,15818.46,21284.71,38314.28,38416.23],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"209731-503205","event_id":"209731","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA-FIL","question":"Arthur Fils","group_item_title":"Arthur Fils","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Arthur Fils wins the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7rFibkECUoSzkz9Zulj7CF/0b7bf0a20e8d6939b02973f89704e354/077-france.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T03:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-24T08:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T22:22:03.401697Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T22:22:03.401697Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T03:55:11.967447Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA/arthur-fils-vs-frances-tiafoe","event_title":"Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.84,0.56,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"209731-503206","event_id":"209731","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA-TIA","question":"Frances Tiafoe","group_item_title":"Frances Tiafoe","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Frances Tiafoe wins the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Arthur Fils scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-23T03:50:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-24T08:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T22:22:32.382487Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-23T22:22:03.401697Z","added_at":"2026-08-23T03:55:11.967447Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPCIN-20260823-FIL-TIA/arthur-fils-vs-frances-tiafoe","event_title":"Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.19,0.47,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/209731","as_of":"2026-08-23T23:58:18.136249Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}