{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/212164","as_of":"2026-10-12T19:42:39.911056Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Oregon-04 House Winner\" — \"Val Hoyle\" leads at 98% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-10-02 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/gemini/212164","source_url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26OR-04/oregon-04-house-winner"},"source":"gemini","id":"212164","ticker":"HOUSE26OR-04","slug":"oregon-04-house-winner","title":"Oregon-04 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Oregon-04?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T12:48:06.564000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":350.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.70065689086914,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Val Hoyle","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T22:54:04.472931Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T22:54:04.472931Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.098818Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26OR-04/oregon-04-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"212164-508391","event_id":"212164","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26OR-04-VALHOYLE","question":"Val Hoyle","group_item_title":"Val Hoyle","description":"If Val Hoyle wins the 2026 U.S. House election in OR-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.07],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T13:27:44.470760Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T13:27:44.470760Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.362926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26OR-04/oregon-04-house-winner","event_title":"Oregon-04 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.97,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"gemini","id":"212164-508392","event_id":"212164","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26OR-04-MONIQUEDESPAIN","question":"Monique DeSpain","group_item_title":"Monique DeSpain","description":"If Monique DeSpain wins the 2026 U.S. House election in OR-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.98],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T06:10:40.827956Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T06:10:40.827956Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.362926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26OR-04/oregon-04-house-winner","event_title":"Oregon-04 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.06,0.07]}]}