{"source":"gemini","id":"212212","ticker":"HOUSE26FL-04","slug":"florida-04-house-winner","title":"Florida-04 House Winner","description":"Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Florida-04?","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1X12y7OhZNqwdNenVwemrA/81a6784737b185a4bd7be2276a69d5cf/Contract_Image.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T12:48:14.646000Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["House"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Aaron Bean","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.098818Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.098818Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.098818Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26FL-04/florida-04-house-winner","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"212212-508500","event_id":"212212","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26FL-04-AARONBEAN","question":"Aaron Bean","group_item_title":"Aaron Bean","description":"If Aaron Bean wins the 2026 U.S. House election in FL-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4jB6qLZD8G2q1zBTFspELZ/b1cc56ba77c2fa83b929f0363beb80ec/Republican.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.13],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T17:55:58.358728Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T11:36:28.245558Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.362926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26FL-04/florida-04-house-winner","event_title":"Florida-04 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.89,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"gemini","id":"212212-508499","event_id":"212212","slug":"GEMI-HOUSE26FL-04-LASHONDAHOLLOWAY","question":"LaShonda Holloway","group_item_title":"LaShonda Holloway","description":"If LaShonda Holloway wins the 2026 U.S. House election in FL-04, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6scOV1kBmAiir6ziDF0dhJ/8330fbf5b44d4f7941b6792ceb200b6a/Democrat.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.84],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-18T18:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-11-10T01:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T19:19:19.762490Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-28T16:52:31.802339Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T13:09:16.362926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/HOUSE26FL-04/florida-04-house-winner","event_title":"Florida-04 House Winner","chart_24h":[0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/212212","as_of":"2026-08-28T20:55:30.728073Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Florida-04 House Winner\" — top market at 88% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}