{"source":"gemini","id":"216543","ticker":"XAU2608272100","slug":"gold-price-on-august-27","title":"Gold price on August 27?","description":"Interval XAU price prediction event expiring on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Gold_a6abce51-478a-47b9-9873-0428ab6a9793.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T19:55:38.488000Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2030.24,"volume_24hr":2030.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.93214416503906,"normalized_volume":36.32888412475586,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":["Gold"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4,600 or above","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.48,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.149941Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.149941Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.308055Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","chart_24h":[15.0,60.0,95.97,161.94,191.94,221.94,236.94,296.94,311.94,546.65,626.65,641.65,656.65,761.65,1033.65,1133.65,1148.23,1428.23,1699.99,1773.99,1985.24],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-519991","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4600","question":"$4,600 or above","group_item_title":"$4,600 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,600 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.94],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.93,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.498750Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.51,0.54,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.71,0.5,0.89,0.63,0.41]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-520000","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4650","question":"$4,650 or above","group_item_title":"$4,650 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,650 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.96],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.85,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.498750Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-520889","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4675","question":"$4,675 or above","group_item_title":"$4,675 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,675 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.97],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T22:38:03.014502Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-521398","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4700","question":"$4,700 or above","group_item_title":"$4,700 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,700 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-27T02:03:50.836485Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.99,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-519986","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4575","question":"$4,575 or above","group_item_title":"$4,575 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,575 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.01],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T19:53:46.208271Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.498750Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.49,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-522303","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4525","question":"$4,525 or above","group_item_title":"$4,525 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,525 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.99],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-27T09:47:05.421170Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-519981","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4550","question":"$4,550 or above","group_item_title":"$4,550 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,550 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.99],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:24.267252Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.498750Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.76,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216543-519996","event_id":"216543","slug":"GEMI-XAU2608272100-HI4625","question":"$4,625 or above","group_item_title":"$4,625 or above","description":"If the price of Gold is $4,625 or above on August 27, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.9],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T21:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.29,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:14:50.565944Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T20:11:47.498750Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/XAU2608272100/gold-price-on-august-27","event_title":"Gold price on August 27?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/216543","as_of":"2026-08-27T21:00:54.568958Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Gold price on August 27?\" — top market at 99% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}