{"source":"gemini","id":"216760","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4","slug":"toby-samuel-vs-christian-garin","title":"Toby Samuel vs Christian Garin","description":"Toby Samuel vs Christian Garin","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T22:39:04.879000Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T03:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1215.58,"volume_24hr":1215.58,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.08757781982422,"normalized_volume":31.603391647338867,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Toby Samuel","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T19:53:44.613728Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T19:53:44.613728Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T22:59:05.543875Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4/toby-samuel-vs-christian-garin","chart_24h":[0.0,10.05,410.05,1140.51,1215.58],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"216760-520923","event_id":"216760","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4-SAM2","question":"Toby Samuel","group_item_title":"Toby Samuel","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Toby Samuel wins the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Christian Garin originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4m6aMP1NbVCXrSu0IZnmO2/eb4d853aefd5896f78754b866f99cccf/262-united-kingdom.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.03],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-27T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T03:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:18.632235Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:18.632235Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T22:59:05.678133Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4/toby-samuel-vs-christian-garin","event_title":"Toby Samuel vs Christian Garin","chart_24h":[0.69,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.92,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"216760-520924","event_id":"216760","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4-GAR4","question":"Christian Garin","group_item_title":"Christian Garin","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Christian Garin wins the tennis match between Christian Garin and Toby Samuel originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/nbWJOSTEpXXZz5c92tOWH/b9537e82e54f3abb9deed1503774140e/051-chile.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-27T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T03:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:33.444976Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T20:57:18.632235Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T22:59:05.678133Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260827-SAM2-GAR4/toby-samuel-vs-christian-garin","event_title":"Toby Samuel vs Christian Garin","chart_24h":[0.36,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.11,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/216760","as_of":"2026-08-27T20:59:14.562384Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Toby Samuel vs Christian Garin\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}