{"source":"gemini","id":"219615","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC","slug":"roman-safiullin-vs-carlos-alcaraz","title":"Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz","description":"Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-28T13:25:28.236000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T17:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5760.99,"volume_24hr":5760.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.31815719604492,"normalized_volume":47.29484176635742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Carlos Alcaraz","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.413190Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.413190Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T13:42:48.360408Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC/roman-safiullin-vs-carlos-alcaraz","chart_24h":[23.8,24.8,25.96,46.38,2406.9,2745.5,2780.03,2953.33,4543.22,5760.99],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"219615-527044","event_id":"219615","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC-ALC","question":"Carlos Alcaraz","group_item_title":"Carlos Alcaraz","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Roman Safiullin originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4AAjJeLryUNtWPmR8Vq4ZZ/b2ad05c169ad68eafd731719b5371298/044-spain.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.02],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T17:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.718785Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.718785Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T13:42:48.630648Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC/roman-safiullin-vs-carlos-alcaraz","event_title":"Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"219615-527033","event_id":"219615","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC-SAF","question":"Roman Safiullin","group_item_title":"Roman Safiullin","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Roman Safiullin wins the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/NEU_8396a4cb-e255-4cef-9b51-362adb0ffa40.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.99],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T17:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.18000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.718785Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T19:44:24.718785Z","added_at":"2026-08-28T13:42:48.630648Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260830-SAF-ALC/roman-safiullin-vs-carlos-alcaraz","event_title":"Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.07,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/219615","as_of":"2026-08-31T20:05:35.784618Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}