{"source":"gemini","id":"225102","ticker":"WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359","slug":"highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","description":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Minneapolis_040c8783-f8f9-433d-bac5-8947c022c148.avif","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T12:59:03.036000Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":["Daily Temperature"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"89°F to 90°F","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.267705Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.267705Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.267705Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542287","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-89TO90","question":"89°F to 90°F","group_item_title":"89°F to 90°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.7],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542286","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-87TO88","question":"87°F to 88°F","group_item_title":"87°F to 88°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.73],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.34]},{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542285","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-LO86","question":"86°F or below","group_item_title":"86°F or below","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.84],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2]},{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542288","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-91TO92","question":"91°F to 92°F","group_item_title":"91°F to 92°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.87],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T06:07:03.864273Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17]},{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542289","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-93TO94","question":"93°F to 94°F","group_item_title":"93°F to 94°F","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.99],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T04:13:41.047065Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T04:13:41.047065Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"gemini","id":"225102-542290","event_id":"225102","slug":"GEMI-WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359-HI95","question":"95°F or above","group_item_title":"95°F or above","description":"This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN, MN on September 1, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service (\"NWS\") Climatological Report (Daily) for Twin Cities MN, MN.\n\nSpecifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Twin Cities MN on September 1, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 1, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-31T13:59:59Z","end_date":"2026-09-02T03:59:59Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-01T02:51:48.953177Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-01T02:51:48.953177Z","added_at":"2026-08-31T14:00:53.823690Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/WXHIGH-MSP-2609020359/highest-temperature-in-minneapolis-on-september-1-2026","event_title":"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/225102","as_of":"2026-09-01T06:22:34.251569Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Highest temperature in Minneapolis on September 1, 2026?\" — top market at 38% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}