{"source":"gemini","id":"226147","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB","slug":"daniel-merida-aguilar-vs-andrey-rublev","title":"Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev","description":"Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:54:12.882000Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33356.74,"volume_24hr":33356.74,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":85.81646728515625,"normalized_volume":68.42216491699219,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Daniel Merida Aguilar","top_outcome_probability":0.65,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:01.811643Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:01.811643Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T03:12:14.116773Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB/daniel-merida-aguilar-vs-andrey-rublev","chart_24h":[213.97,215.64,242.02,351.36,1942.92,2942.92,9297.82,16153.12,16289.74,33356.74],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"226147-545452","event_id":"226147","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB-AGU2","question":"Daniel Merida Aguilar","group_item_title":"Daniel Merida Aguilar","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4AAjJeLryUNtWPmR8Vq4ZZ/b2ad05c169ad68eafd731719b5371298/044-spain.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.41],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:54:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.22000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:02.860326Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:02.860326Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T03:12:14.441587Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB/daniel-merida-aguilar-vs-andrey-rublev","event_title":"Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev","chart_24h":[0.43,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.26,0.51,0.65]},{"source":"gemini","id":"226147-545453","event_id":"226147","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB-RUB","question":"Andrey Rublev","group_item_title":"Andrey Rublev","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Andrey Rublev wins the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Daniel Merida Aguilar originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/NEU_8396a4cb-e255-4cef-9b51-362adb0ffa40.avif","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.66],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-01T02:54:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:02.860326Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T17:30:02.860326Z","added_at":"2026-09-01T03:12:14.441587Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260902-AGU2-RUB/daniel-merida-aguilar-vs-andrey-rublev","event_title":"Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.53,0.41]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/226147","as_of":"2026-09-02T17:47:39.969034Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev\" — top market at 65% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}