{"source":"gemini","id":"229562","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2","slug":"alex-michelsen-vs-daniel-merida-aguilar","title":"Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar","description":"Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:11:15.790000Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T22:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9661.87,"volume_24hr":9192.86,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.94605255126953,"normalized_volume":53.111141204833984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alex Michelsen","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.38,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T00:19:15.220791Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T00:19:15.220791Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:28:02.783926Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2/alex-michelsen-vs-daniel-merida-aguilar","chart_24h":[458.94,306.54,58.0,3.02,33.28,31.72,44.32,1293.87,1364.43,2857.87,9192.86],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"229562-555701","event_id":"229562","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2-MIC","question":"Alex Michelsen","group_item_title":"Alex Michelsen","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Alex Michelsen wins the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.03],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T22:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T00:42:40.450717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T00:42:40.450717Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:28:08.294135Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2/alex-michelsen-vs-daniel-merida-aguilar","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar","chart_24h":[0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.95,0.99]},{"source":"gemini","id":"229562-555702","event_id":"229562","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2-AGU2","question":"Daniel Merida Aguilar","group_item_title":"Daniel Merida Aguilar","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4AAjJeLryUNtWPmR8Vq4ZZ/b2ad05c169ad68eafd731719b5371298/044-spain.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.99],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T22:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T00:42:40.450717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T00:42:40.450717Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:28:08.294135Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-MIC-AGU2/alex-michelsen-vs-daniel-merida-aguilar","event_title":"Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar","chart_24h":[0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.1,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/229562","as_of":"2026-09-05T03:15:27.185530Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}