{"source":"gemini","id":"230585","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU","slug":"alexander-bublik-vs-tommy-paul","title":"Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul","description":"Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-03T14:11:44.863000Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T16:55:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T20:23:00.268000Z","volume":30833.88,"volume_24hr":30832.32,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":80.99447631835938,"normalized_volume":67.39276123046875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tommy Paul","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.37,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:20.998554Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:20.998554Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T14:33:14.843597Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU/alexander-bublik-vs-tommy-paul","chart_24h":[3.09,257.2,315.73,316.73,3316.73,7192.54,14101.68,21530.06,30832.32,30832.32],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"230585-557978","event_id":"230585","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU-PAU","question":"Tommy Paul","group_item_title":"Tommy Paul","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Tommy Paul wins the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Alexander Bublik originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-04T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T16:55:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T20:23:00.268000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:21.015679Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:21.015679Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T14:33:15.184175Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU/alexander-bublik-vs-tommy-paul","event_title":"Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul","chart_24h":[0.63,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.93,1.0]},{"source":"gemini","id":"230585-557977","event_id":"230585","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU-BUB","question":"Alexander Bublik","group_item_title":"Alexander Bublik","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Alexander Bublik wins the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/65pgSjpCfMo3FjSy5O42Nw/bd7d0c02ad4ed7a231d3546996655a06/034-kazakhstan.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-04T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-05T16:55:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-04T20:22:59.991000Z","volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:21.015679Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T20:43:21.015679Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T14:33:15.184175Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260904-BUB-PAU/alexander-bublik-vs-tommy-paul","event_title":"Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul","chart_24h":[0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.01,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/230585","as_of":"2026-09-04T21:40:52.713851Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul\" — top market at 100% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}