{"source":"gemini","id":"232576","ticker":"TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA","slug":"michael-zheng-vs-arthur-gea","title":"Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea","description":"Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/tennis_test_02_42aacd7e-073f-453c-a9a2-7f09d07bbc38.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-04T16:06:47.139000Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T20:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35109.9,"volume_24hr":35108.26,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":77.70667266845703,"normalized_volume":61.95717239379883,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["US Open"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Michael Zheng","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.552725Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.552725Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T16:24:43.263479Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA/michael-zheng-vs-arthur-gea","chart_24h":[3.25,3.25,5.53,30.39,110.46,108.82,128.82,13474.58,18964.61,19634.72,20144.07],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"232576-564186","event_id":"232576","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA-ZHE2","question":"Michael Zheng","group_item_title":"Michael Zheng","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Michael Zheng wins the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Arthur Gea originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.36],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T20:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.749232Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.749232Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T16:24:43.423278Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA/michael-zheng-vs-arthur-gea","event_title":"Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea","chart_24h":[0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.52]},{"source":"gemini","id":"232576-564187","event_id":"232576","slug":"GEMI-TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA-GEA","question":"Arthur Gea","group_item_title":"Arthur Gea","description":"This market resolves to Yes if Arthur Gea wins the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Michael Zheng originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_1078aa92-c5fe-42cb-9491-466335816650.pdf)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/7rFibkECUoSzkz9Zulj7CF/0b7bf0a20e8d6939b02973f89704e354/077-france.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.68],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T05:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-06T20:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.11000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.749232Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T23:36:57.749232Z","added_at":"2026-09-04T16:24:43.423278Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/TENNIS-ATPUSO-20260905-ZHE2-GEA/michael-zheng-vs-arthur-gea","event_title":"Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.53]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/232576","as_of":"2026-09-05T23:37:27.991646Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea\" — top market at 68% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}