{"source":"gemini","id":"23458","ticker":"FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M","slug":"germany-vs-ecuador","title":"Germany vs Ecuador","description":"Germany vs Ecuador","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1ZFeiki9owxvG3mkzSmSnN/b25c6d89dc4a644b375e914899ad87fb/FIFA_World_Cup_Trophy.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:49.797000Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1659.0,"volume_24hr":1234.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.06083679199219,"normalized_volume":29.794038772583008,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["World Cup"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Germany","top_outcome_probability":0.51,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:35:24.993399Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:35:24.993399Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M/germany-vs-ecuador","chart_24h":[176.0,885.0,976.0,1076.0,1136.0,1141.0,1234.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"23458-135015","event_id":"23458","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M-GER","question":"Germany","group_item_title":"Germany","description":"If Germany wins the Men's World Cup match between Ecuador and Germany scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4B70RAhHCbPNcYPB6XzLHU/ffe9023acbc22204a2d5cd5d2602867d/066-germany.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.52],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:57:10.791371Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:35:25.075239Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M/germany-vs-ecuador","event_title":"Germany vs Ecuador","chart_24h":[0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"gemini","id":"23458-135014","event_id":"23458","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M-ECU","question":"Ecuador","group_item_title":"Ecuador","description":"If Ecuador wins the Men's World Cup match between Ecuador and Germany scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/3iSdzocm0vK3w4mKZXgrb2/cefe4896475abfc2cf397212417a584f/049-ecuador.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.74],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T05:34:13.760614Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T05:34:03.150513Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M/germany-vs-ecuador","event_title":"Germany vs Ecuador","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29]},{"source":"gemini","id":"23458-135016","event_id":"23458","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M-D","question":"Draw","group_item_title":"Draw","description":"If the Men's World Cup match between Ecuador and Germany scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET is tied after regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.78],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:57:02.354835Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:57:02.354835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606252000-GER-ECU-M/germany-vs-ecuador","event_title":"Germany vs Ecuador","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/23458","as_of":"2026-06-21T08:07:44.757798Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Germany vs Ecuador\" — top market at 51% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}