{"source":"gemini","id":"23462","ticker":"FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M","slug":"usa-vs-turkiye","title":"USA vs Turkiye","description":"USA vs Turkiye","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/1ZFeiki9owxvG3mkzSmSnN/b25c6d89dc4a644b375e914899ad87fb/FIFA_World_Cup_Trophy.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:26:32.971000Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6951.0,"volume_24hr":3431.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.235626220703125,"normalized_volume":42.41583251953125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["World Cup"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"USA","top_outcome_probability":0.52,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:16:12.996651Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:16:12.996651Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M/usa-vs-turkiye","chart_24h":[2220.0,3140.0,3320.0,3113.0,3033.0,3026.0,3431.0],"markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"23462-135027","event_id":"23462","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M-USA","question":"USA","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If USA wins the Men's World Cup match between Turkiye and USA scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/enO9xnfkxGSdWrMuQ8f5I/4c82ff835d421bbc99f0e320a08f2088/153-united-states-of-america.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.51],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T07:36:43.435669Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T07:36:35.737274Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M/usa-vs-turkiye","event_title":"USA vs Turkiye","chart_24h":[0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52]},{"source":"gemini","id":"23462-135026","event_id":"23462","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M-TUR","question":"Turkiye","group_item_title":"Turkiye","description":"If Turkiye wins the Men's World Cup match between Turkiye and USA scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":"https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/4Pvk7eBHs9nl4DXwTvx3jS/4334150aae7610da030316365f191a2b/119-turkey.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.71],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T05:54:38.783793Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T23:21:23.845028Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M/usa-vs-turkiye","event_title":"USA vs Turkiye","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"gemini","id":"23462-135028","event_id":"23462","slug":"GEMI-FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M-D","question":"Draw","group_item_title":"Draw","description":"If the Men's World Cup match between Turkiye and USA scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET is tied after regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.8],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T06:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T08:37:58.454688Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:37:51.672231Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/FIFAWC-2606260200-USA-TUR-M/usa-vs-turkiye","event_title":"USA vs Turkiye","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/23462","as_of":"2026-06-21T08:51:38.691755Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"USA vs Turkiye\" — top market at 52% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}