{"source":"gemini","id":"236456","ticker":"MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M","slug":"toronto-vs-orlando","title":"Toronto vs Orlando","description":"Toronto vs Orlando","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/Soccer_eb4baf30-095c-4b92-ae46-f6bf5061a57d.avif","icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-06T19:05:02.653000Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6706.68,"volume_24hr":6697.91,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.88871383666992,"normalized_volume":48.71670150756836,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["MLS"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Orlando","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.25,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.213623Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.213623Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:20.359365Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M/toronto-vs-orlando","chart_24h":[206.26,412.52,433.78,613.18,2113.18,4757.16,4861.91,6696.91,6697.91],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"gemini","id":"236456-576397","event_id":"236456","slug":"GEMI-MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M-ORL","question":"Orlando","group_item_title":"Orlando","description":"If Orlando wins the Major League Soccer match between Orlando and Toronto originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/MLS-ORL-Dark_ce8ae460-f337-4497-bce0-7273403ef024.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.26],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.05,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-06T19:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.25,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:23.116816Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M/toronto-vs-orlando","event_title":"Toronto vs Orlando","chart_24h":[0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.71,0.79]},{"source":"gemini","id":"236456-576401","event_id":"236456","slug":"GEMI-MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M-D","question":"Tie","group_item_title":"Tie","description":"If the Major League Soccer match between Orlando and Toronto scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET is tied after regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withties, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.82],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.04,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-06T19:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:23.116816Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M/toronto-vs-orlando","event_title":"Toronto vs Orlando","chart_24h":[0.23,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.22]},{"source":"gemini","id":"236456-576399","event_id":"236456","slug":"GEMI-MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M-TOR","question":"Toronto","group_item_title":"Toronto","description":"If Toronto wins the Major League Soccer match between Toronto and Orlando originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/MLS-TOR-Dark_08b6cb94-cd5a-457c-a12e-f073feaaba46.png","icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.98],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.04,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-06T19:04:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-13T23:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":null,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T01:41:52.223619Z","added_at":"2026-09-06T19:20:23.116816Z","url":"https://www.gemini.com/predictions/MLS-2609122330-TOR-ORL-M/toronto-vs-orlando","event_title":"Toronto vs Orlando","chart_24h":[0.25,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.11,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/gemini/236456","as_of":"2026-09-13T03:39:45.273317Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Gemini): \"Toronto vs Orlando\" — top market at 79% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}